Kiel Institute Economic Outlook

Upswing Not In Sight Until 2021 at the Earliest

In its most recent forecast, the Kiel Institute expects gross domestic product to grow by 0.5 percent (2019), 1.1 percent (2020) and 1.5 percent (2021).

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Boris Johnson

Professor Gabriel Felbermayr, President of the Kiel Institue for the World Economy, comments on the outcome of the UK...

The downturn in the German economy is slowing down, but a noticeable recovery is not expected until 2021 at the earliest. In...

A new EU project funded with 12m Euros will provide new insight into making ocean observation more efficient. ...

The Kiel Institute brings together experts from academia and policy consulting who provide the highest quality research, policy recommendations, and analysis on a full range of economic policy issues.

Klaus Schrader IfW Kiel

Dr. Klaus Schrader

Topics:
Labor Market, European Union & Euro, Globalization, ...

Ruth Delzeit - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Dr. Ruth Delzeit

Topics:
Climate, Natural Resources

Rainer Thiele - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Prof. Dr. Rainer Thiele

Topics:
Sustainable Development, Emerging Markets & Developing Countries, Africa

Prof. Dr. Sonja Peterson | Institut für Weltwirtschaft - Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Prof. Dr. Sonja Peterson

Topics:
Sustainable Development, Climate, Natural Resources

Jens Boysen-Hogrefe - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Prof. Dr. Jens Boysen-Hogrefe

Topics:
Business Cycle, Fiscal Policy & National Budgets, Tax Policy

Holger Görg - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Prof. Holger Görg, Ph.D.

Topics:
Foreign Direct Investments, Globalization, International Trade, ...

Prof. Gabriel Felbermayr. Ph.D.

Prof. Gabriel Felbermayr, Ph.D.

Topics:
European Union & Euro, International Trade, Climate

Prof. Dr. Stefan Kooths - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Prof. Dr. Stefan Kooths

Topics:
Growth, Business Cycle, Economic & Financial Crises

Dominik Groll - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Dr. Dominik Groll

Topics:
Business Cycle, Labor Market, Migration

Matthias Lücke - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Prof. Dr. Matthias Lücke

Topics:
European Union & Euro, Globalization, International Trade, ...

Prof. Dr. Dr. Ulrich Schmidt - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Prof. Dr. Dr. Ulrich Schmidt

Topics:
Equal Opportunities, Financial Markets, Globalization, ...

Rolf Langhammer - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Prof. Dr. Rolf J. Langhammer

Topics:
Globalization, International Trade, Emerging Markets & Developing Countries

Klaus-Jürgen Gern - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Dr. Klaus-Jürgen Gern

Topics:
Business Cycle Euro Area, Business Cycle World, Fiscal Policy & National Budgets

Our most recent forecasts for Germany, the Euro Area and the World Economy as well as current commentary on economic and...

Two women inspect a solar panel

A stop to climate change and a move away from fossil fuels will lead to profound changes in society and the lifestyles of...

Millions of refugees would like to come to Europe, especially Germany. How can these people be integrated? What are the...

Colorful international flags in a blue sky. — © "International Flags" by Penn State, CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

Young woman who is carrying a basket on her head walks through green fields. — © "Africa’s economy rebounds strongly, but jobs remain elusive" by Africa Renewal, CC BY-NC-SA 2.0

Stock market chart background — © iStock.com/honglouwawa

Colorful, international flags in front of the Kiel Institute. — © IfW Kiel / Michael Stefan

Zeno Enders, Franziska Hünnekes, Gernot J. Müller

We assess empirically whether monetary policy announcements impact firm expectations. Two features of our data set are key. First, we...

Asadullah Jawid, Menusch Khadjavi

Climate change is a significant obstacle for farmers in the least developed countries like Afghanistan and adaptation support is...

Dimitrios Bermperoglou, Yota Deli, Sarantis Kalyvitis

This paper studies how investment tax incentives stimulate output in a medium-scale DSGE model, which allows for a variety of fiscal...

Journal Article

Management Practices and Productivity in Germany

German Economic Review

11/2019

Sandra Broszeit, Ursula Fritsch, Holger Görg ...

Based on a novel dataset, the "German Management and Organizational Practices" (GMOP) Survey, we calculate establishment specific...

Kiel Institute Economic Outlook

Kiel Policy Briefs

Kiel Focus

Review of World Economics

Economics E-Journal

Kiel Working Papers

Sonja Peterson assesses the German government's climate package.

Reference to a new study by Holger Görg, which shows that in the current trade war between the USA and China, the rocking up of...

A new study by Holger Görg shows that in the current trade war between the USA and China also makes goods in other countries more...

Gabriel Felbermayr contradicts accusation that China is manipulating the yuan exchange rate.

Jens Boysen-Hogrefe comments on the latest economic outlooks.

Reports on the study "China's Overseas Lending" by Christoph Trebesch et al.

Center for Development Research at the University of Bonn (ZEF)

Deutsches Klima-Konsortium (DKK)

Future Ocean

Kiel Earth Institute

Kiel Earth Institute

Think 20 (T20)

Hertie School of Governance

OECD

CEPS (Centre of European Policy Studies)

Centre of European Policy Studies (CEPS)

African School of Economics (ASE)

Migration Policy Center

Migration Policy Centre (MPC)

Council for Global Problem-Solving

Poverty Reduction, Equity and Growth Network (PEGNet)

Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (GEOMAR)

Stiftung Mercator

Stiftung Mercator

Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft | ZBW – Leibniz Information Centre for Economics

ZBW – Leibniz Information Centre for Economics

Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel

Advanced Studies Program

Topics in International Trade - Arnaud Costinot

17 - 19 Dec 2019

In this series of lectures, we will explore the pattern and consequences of trade. We will start with the simplest approach to trade: trade among perfectly competitive economies under constant returns to scale. We first study, in a general...

24105 Kiel, Kiellinie 66

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Institut für Weltwirtschaft