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Kiel Institute for the World Economy

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Kiel Institute Expands Research into European Asylum and Migration Policy with Support from Stiftung Mercator
Migrants Knocking on Europe’s Doors © BeholdingEy – iStockphotoThe Kiel Institute for the World Economy is significantly expanding its research into European asylum and migration policy. It is currently establishing a three-year research and consultation project, which will receive EUR 3 million in funding from the Stiftung Mercator foundation. The aim of the project – the Mercator Dialogue on Asylum and Migration (MEDAM) – is to identify and close the gaps in existing research and to develop specific recommendations for policy makers. For that purpose there will be a regular dialogue with decision makers. more...


Global Economy Prize 2016 laureates announced
medaille_wwp.jpgMario Monti, former European Commissioner for Competition and Prime Minister of Italy, Friede Springer, majority shareholder and Vice Chairwoman of the Supervisory Board of Axel Springer SE and Oliver E. Williamson, Economist at the University of California, Berkeley an Nobel Laureate in Economics will be awarded with the Global Economy Prize 2016 in June. The German Minister of Finance, Wolfgang Schäuble, will give an address. more...


Economic Outlook for Europe: Many stimulating factors, but pace of expansion will accelerate only slightly
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The EUROFRAME Group, which comprises ten of the most respected economic forecasting and research institutes in Europe’s, is giving an optimistic outlook for the European Economyand expects GDP to rise by 1.8 per cent in both 2016 and 2017. “Even though there are risks from the sliding oil prices and the large number of refugees for the European economy, positive effects for the economy as a whole are currently dominant”, says Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Senior Researcher at the Forecasting Center at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy. more...


Losers from Globalization strengthen Right-Wing Parties
Wahlurne © awfoto - Fotolia.comRight-wing parties tend to gain electoral support more than proportionately from those losing in the process of globalization. This behavior has been verified for Germany by IfW-researcher Robert Gold and two further economists. Especially in those regions where production facilities had to shut down, right-wing extremism has been able to gain significantly, at least intermediately. On average, a trade balance reduction by 1350 Euro per employee went along with extreme right-wing parties gaining about 0.12 percentage points in votes. On the other hand, if a region benefits from improved export opportunities in new markets, the votes for right-wing parties will go back. Please find the full study here ...


IfW winter forecast: recovery in Germany set to continue

Economic researchers at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) believe that refugee-related spending will have only a moderately positive effect on GDP over the near term. They are raising their forecast for 2016 accordingly, from +2.1 percent to +2.2 percent. The researchers continue to expect growth of +1.8 and +2.3 percent, respectively, for 2015 and 2017. "Strong consumer spending remains the driving force behind the recovery and investment spending is also expected to rise faster," says Stefan Kooths, head of the IfW Forecasting Center. more...

Business Cycle Forecast

EUROFRAME Report
Winter 2015/2016

The Kiel Institute's Business Cycle Forecast of Winter from December 14, 2015

All business cycle forecasts of the Kiel Institute

 

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93rd International Business Cycle Conference
The World Economy in TurmOil
March 14/15, 2016, Kiel

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