Economic outlook

German GDP is expected to slump between 4.5 and 9 percent in 2020

The Kiel Institute based its calculations on two scenarios: A six-week lockdown and a three months longer lockdown. In both scenarios the slump in GDP is considerable, followed by a strong rebound next year.

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(C)Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Compared to the spring forecast of the Kiel Institute a week ago, the economic situation has worsened dramatically weighing...

The Kiel Institute for the World Economy sees the uncertainty about actual coronavirus case numbers as a major problem for...

As a consequence of the corona virus, the Kiel Institute expects a severe economic slump, followed by a strong rebound. GDP in...

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Rolf Langhammer - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Dr. Dominik Groll

Klaus-Jürgen Gern - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Dr. Klaus-Jürgen Gern

Business Cycle Euro Area, Business Cycle World, Fiscal Policy & National Budgets

Holger Görg - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Prof. Holger Görg, Ph.D.

Foreign Direct Investments, Globalization, International Trade, ...

Prof. Dr. Stefan Kooths

Growth, Business Cycle, Economic & Financial Crises

Prof. Gabriel Felbermayr, Ph.D.

European Union & Euro, Globalization, International Trade

Prof. Dr. Christoph Trebesch

International Finance, Fiscal Policy & National Budgets, Economic & Financial Crises

Prof. Dr. Sonja Peterson

Sustainable Development, Climate, Natural Resources

Jens Boysen-Hogrefe - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Prof. Dr. Jens Boysen-Hogrefe

Business Cycle, Fiscal Policy & National Budgets, Tax Policy

Rainer Thiele - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) / Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Prof. Dr. Rainer Thiele

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Our most recent forecasts for Germany, the Euro Area and the World Economy as well as current commentary on economic and...

A stop to climate change and a move away from fossil fuels will lead to profound changes in society and the lifestyles of...

Millions of refugees would like to come to Europe, especially Germany. How can these people be integrated? What are the...

Colorful international flags in a blue sky. — © "International Flags" by Penn State, CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

Young woman who is carrying a basket on her head walks through green fields. — © "Africa’s economy rebounds strongly, but jobs remain elusive" by Africa Renewal, CC BY-NC-SA 2.0

Stock market chart background — © iStock.com/honglouwawa

Colorful, international flags in front of the Kiel Institute. — © IfW Kiel / Michael Stefan

Rajeev Goel, Fahd Rehman

Adding specific firm-level insights into the factors driving firms to subcontract operations to the informal sector, this article uses...

Jiaming Jiang, Rajeev Goel, Xingyuan Zhang

Whereas technical standards and Standard Setting Organizations (SSOs) are omnipresent and essential to mass production and mass...

Rajeev Goel

We exploit employment data from 10,528 parishes across nineteenth century England and Wales and find that a one standard deviation...

Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Vincent Stamer

We provide a calculation tool to assess the properties of a maximumlikelihood (ML) estimator that extrapolates the true prevalence of...

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...Gabriel Felbermayr, Präsident des Instituts für Weltwirtschaft in Kiel, fordert dagegen eine billionenschwere gemeinsame...

...Die erreiche man aber nicht, indem man möglichst alles in Deutschland produziert, sagt Gabriel Felbermayr, Präsident des...

... Corona-Krise: Der Ökonom Ulrich Schmidt vom IfW Kiel erklärt, warum Angst ganz normal ist...

..."Dramatic declines in global growth have to be expected",the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, an influential German research...

Sonja Peterson assesses the German government's climate package.

Reference to a new study by Holger Görg, which shows that in the current trade war between the USA and China, the rocking up of...

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