View over cargo ship deck with containers

International Trade

Analyses, simulations and commentaries on all issues related to international trade and trade policy. Among other these are the impact of tariffs and trade barriers, the importance of international supply chains, the role of the WTO, or the effects of sanctions.

Policy Contributions

Kiel Trade Indicator

The Kiel Institute presents the Kiel Trade Indicator, a novel leading indicator for international trade based on real-time data. It estimates the expected imports and exports for 75 countries, the EU as well as the worldwide trade in goods in total. The calculation is based on movement data from container ships in several hundred ports and sea regions, which an algorithm programmed at the Kiel Institute evaluates using artificial intelligence.

open Kiel Trade Indicator