View over cargo ship deck with containers

Subject Dossier

International Trade

Analyses, simulations and commentaries on all issues related to international trade and trade policy. Among other these are the impact of tariffs and trade barriers, the importance of international supply chains, the role of the WTO, or the effects of sanctions.

Kiel Trade Indicator

The Kiel Institute presents the Kiel Trade Indicator, a novel leading indicator for international trade based on real-time data. It estimates the expected imports and exports for 75 countries, the EU as well as the worldwide trade in goods in total. The calculation is based on movement data from container ships in several hundred ports and sea regions, which an algorithm programmed at the Kiel Institute evaluates using artificial intelligence.

open Kiel Trade Indicator

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  1. Kiel Institute (IfW Kiel)


    Bright spot: Trend in global container trade has been pointing upwards for a good 6 months and volume of containers shipped has been increasing to 13.9 mio standard containers. But still this represents more than 1% fewer containers shipped in May than a year ago. 2/

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