Aktuelle akademische Publikationen

forthcoming

Grohmann, Antonia; Menkhoff, Lukas; Merkle, Christoph; Schmacker, Renke (forthcoming): Earn More Tomorrow: Overconfidence, Income Expectations, and Consumer Indebtedness. In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Artikel jmcb.13157. DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.13157.

Jävervall, Sebastian; Khoban Roza (forthcoming): The Impact of Trade Liberalization in the Presence of Political Distortions. In: American Economic Journal: Applied Economics.

Thiele, Rainer; Necker, Tomke; Spritzer, Cara (forthcoming): Diversifying European Supply Chains: Can Africa Play a Role?

2025

Asmus-Bluhm, Gerda; Eichenauer, Vera Z.; Fuchs, Andreas; Parks, Bradley (2025): Does India Use Development Finance to Compete With China? A Subnational Analysis. In: Journal of Conflict Resolution 69 (2-3), S. 406–433. DOI: 10.1177/00220027241228184.

Barsbai, Toman; Bartos, Vojtech; Licuanan, Victoria; Steinmayr, Andreas; Tiongson, Erwin; Yang, Dean (2025a): Picture This: Social Distance and the Mistreatment of Migrant Workers. In: Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics. DOI: 10.1086/736930.

Barsbai, Toman; Steinmayr, Andreas; Winter, Christoph (2025b): Immigrating into a Recession: Evidence from Family Migrants to the United States. In: Journal of Labor Economics, S. 0. DOI: 10.1086/730121.

Becker, Malte; Heidland, Tobias (2025): Geopolitical Tensions and Migration. In: Vierteljahreshefte zur Arbeits- und Wirtschaftsforschung 2 (1), S. 23–35. DOI: 10.3790/vaw.2025.1457603.

Beckmann, Joscha; Schweickert, Rainer; Jahn, Marvin (2025): Political Business Cycles in Varieties of Capitalistic Systems. In: Economics & Politics 37 (2), S. 653–668. DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12331.

Bluhm, Richard; Dreher, Axel; Fuchs, Andreas; Parks, Bradley C.; Strange, Austin M.; Tierney, Michael J. (2025): Connective financing: Chinese infrastructure projects and the diffusion of economic activity in developing countries. In: Journal of Urban Economics 145, S. 103730. DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103730.

Boss, Konstantin; Groeger, Andre; Heidland, Tobias; Krueger, Finja; Zheng, Conghan (2025): Forecasting bilateral asylum seeker flows with high-dimensional data and machine learning techniques. In: Journal of Economic Geography 25 (1), S. 3–19. DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbae023.

Brandi, Clara; Kamin, Katrin; Thiele, Rainer (2025): Africa’s regional and global integration: introduction to the special issue. In: Review of World Economics 161 (1), S. 1–5. DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00577-x.

Fuchs, Andreas; Kaplan, Lennart; Kis-Katos, Krisztina; Leue, Sebastian; Turbanisch, Felix; Wang, Feicheng (2025): Mask wars: Sourcing a critical medical product from China in times of COVID-19. In: Journal of International Economics 155, S. 104068. DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104068.

Gautier, Thomas (2025): From missing brothers to educated sisters: The effects of victimization during the Rwandan genocide. In: World Development 191, S. 106945. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.106945.

Heidland, Tobias; Wichardt, Philipp C. (2025): Conflicting identities: cosmopolitan or anxious? Appreciating concerns of host country population improves attitudes towards immigrants. In: Social Forces 103 (3), S. 1039–1058. DOI: 10.1093/sf/soae108.

Koch, Melanie; Menkhoff, Lukas (2025): The non-linear impact of risk tolerance on entrepreneurial profit and business survival. In: Small Business Economics 64 (4), S. 1643–1670. DOI: 10.1007/s11187-024-00956-6.

Krantz, Sebastian (2025): Patterns of global and regional integration in the East African Community. In: Review of World Economics 161 (1), S. 151–230. DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00558-0.

Lay, Jann; Pahl, Stefan; Thiele, Rainer (2025): The empirics of and policies for sustainability in global value chains. In: World Development 186, S. 106850. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106850.

Tjaden, Jasper; Heidland, Tobias (2025): Did Merkel's 2015 decision attract more migration to Germany? In: European Journal of Political Research 64 (1), S. 389–405. DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12669.

Wellner, Lukas; Dreher, Axel; Fuchs, Andreas; Parks, Bradley C.; Strange, Austin (2025): Can Aid Buy Foreign Public Support? Evidence from Chinese Development Finance. In: Economic Development and Cultural Change 73 (2), S. 523–578. DOI: 10.1086/729539.

2024

Arango-Lozano, Lucía; Menkhoff, Lukas; Rodríguez-Novoa, Daniela; Villamizar-Villegas, Mauricio (2024): The effectiveness of FX interventions: A meta-analysis. In: Journal of Financial Stability 74, S. 100794. DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2020.100794.

Balma, Lacina; Heidland, Tobias; Jävervall, Sebastian; Mahlkow, Hendrik; Mukasa, Adamon N.; Woldemichael, Andinet (2024): Long-run impacts of the conflict in Ukraine on grain imports and prices in Africa. In: African Development Review 36 (S1). DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12745.

Benček, David; Schneiderheinze, Claas (2024): Higher economic growth in poor countries, lower migration flows to the OECD – Revisiting the migration hump with panel data. In: World Development 182, S. 106655. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106655.

Dražanová, Lenka; Gonnot, Jérôme; Heidland, Tobias; Krüger, Finja (2024): Which individual-level factors explain public attitudes toward immigration? a meta-analysis. In: Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies 50 (2), S. 317–340. DOI: 10.1080/1369183X.2023.2265576.

Herkenhoff, Philipp; Krautheim, Sebastian; Semrau, Finn Ole; Steglich, Frauke (2024): Corporate Social Responsibility along the global value chain. In: Journal of Development Economics 167, S. 103236. DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2023.103236.

Khadjavi, Menusch; Sipangule, Kacana; Thiele, Rainer (2024): Exposure to large-scale farms increases smallholders’ competitive behavior and closes the gender gap. In: World Development 176, S. 106519. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106519.

Krantz, Sebastian (2024): Africa's Great Moderation. In: Journal of African Economies 33 (5), S. 515–537. DOI: 10.1093/jae/ejad021.

Lanati, Mauro; Thiele, Rainer (2024a): South-south refugee movements: Do pull factors play a role? In: Economics & Politics 36 (2), S. 928–958. DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12275.

Lanati, Mauro; Thiele, Rainer (2024b): The link between economic growth and emigration from developing countries: Does migrants' skill composition matter? In: Kyklos 77 (1), S. 213–248. DOI: 10.1111/kykl.12364.

Megatrends Afrika (2024): Joint futures: ideas for Germany's Africa policy.

2023

Boer, Lukas; Menkhoff, Lukas; Rieth, Malte (2023): The multifaceted impact of US trade policy on financial markets. In: Journal of Applied Econometrics 38 (3), S. 388–406. DOI: 10.1002/jae.2952.

Fratzscher, Marcel; Heidland, Tobias; Menkhoff, Lukas; Sarno, Lucio; Schmeling, Maik (2023): Foreign Exchange Intervention: A New Database. In: IMF Economic Review 71 (4), S. 852–884. DOI: 10.1057/s41308-022-00190-8.

Jeannet, Anne-Marie; Heidland, Tobias; Ruhs, Martin (2023): A need for control? Political trust and public preferences for asylum and refugee policy. In: European Political Science Review 15 (3), S. 427–443. DOI: 10.1017/S1755773923000012.

Kleemann, Linda; Riekhof, Marie-Catherine (2023): Background risk and risk-taking – evidence from the field. In: Environment and Development Economics 28 (3), S. 265–284. DOI: 10.1017/S1355770X22000274.

Mukashov, A. (2023): Parameter uncertainty in policy planning models: Using portfolio management methods to choose optimal policies under world market volatility. In: Economic Analysis and Policy 77, S. 187–202. DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2022.11.007.

Schütt, Christoph A.; Pipke, David; Detlefsen, Lena; Grimalda, Gianluca (2023): Does ethnic heterogeneity decrease workers’ effort in the presence of income redistribution? An experimental analysis. In: European Journal of Political Economy 79, S. 102440. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2023.102440.

Vrânceanu, Alina; Dinas, Elias; Heidland, Tobias; Ruhs, Martin (2023): The European refugee crisis and public support for the externalisation of migration management. In: European Journal of Political Research 62 (4), S. 1146–1167. DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12565.

Ziesmer, Johannes; Jin, Ding; Mukashov, Askar; Henning, Christian (2023): Integrating fundamental model uncertainty in policy analysis. In: Socio-Economic Planning Sciences 87, S. 101591. DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101591.

2022

Barsbai, Toman; Schmidt, Ulrich; Zirpel, Ulrike (2022): Overconfidence and Risk Taking in the Field: Evidence from Ethiopian Farmers. In: Economic Development and Cultural Change 70 (3), S. 1065–1102. DOI: 10.1086/713933.

Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert L. (2022): Exchange rate expectation, abnormal returns, and the COVID-19 pandemic. In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 196, S. 1–25. DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.02.002.

Dreher, Axel; Fuchs, Andreas; Parks, Bradley; Strange, Austin; Tierney, Michael J. (2022): Banking on Beijing: Cambridge University Press.

Kaiser, Tim; Lusardi, Annamaria; Menkhoff, Lukas; Urban, Carly (2022): Financial education affects financial knowledge and downstream behaviors. In: Journal of Financial Economics 145 (2), S. 255–272. DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.09.022.

Kaiser, Tim; Menkhoff, Lukas (2022): Active learning improves financial education: Experimental evidence from Uganda. In: Journal of Development Economics 157, S. 102870. DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102870.

Mukashov, Askar; Breisinger, Clemens; Engelke, Wilfried; Wiebelt, Manfred (2022): Modeling conflict impact and postconflict reconstruction: The case of Yemen. In: Economic Systems 46 (1), S. 100940. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2022.100940.

Nolte, Kerstin; Sipangule, Kacana; Wendt, Niels (2022): Agricultural households in times of crisis. The COVID-19 pandemic, livelihoods and land-use decisions. In: Journal of Land Use Science 17 (1), S. 134–160. DOI: 10.1080/1747423X.2021.2020922.