Working Paper
New Evidence, Old Puzzles: Technology Shocks and Labor Market Dynamics
Can the standard search-and-matching labor market model replicate the business cycle
fluctuations of the job finding rate and the unemployment rate? In the model, fluctuations are
prominently driven by productivity shocks which are commonly interpreted as technology
shocks. I estimate different types of technology shocks from structural VARs and reassess the
empirical performance of the standard model based on second moments that are conditional
on technology shocks. Most prominently, the model replicates the conditional volatility of job
finding and unemployment, so that the Shimer critique does not apply. Instead the model
lacks non-technological disturbances to replicate the overall sample volatility. In addition,
positive technology shocks lead to a fall in job finding and an increase in unemployment
thereby opposing the dynamics in the standard model similar to the “hours puzzle” in Galí
(1999).
Key Words
- business cycle
- labor market dynamics
- search and matching
- structural VAR
- technology shocks