Working Paper
Optimal inflation and firms' productivity dynamics
Empirical data indicate that firms tend to have below-average productivity upon entry
and that they tend to experience post-entry productivity growth. I present a New Keynesian
model with growth in firm-specific productivity and firm turnover that captures these two
phenomena. The model predicts that the optimal rate of long-run inflation is positive and
equal to growth in firm-specific productivity. When linearized at positive optimal inflation,
the model is observationally equivalent to the basic New Keynesian model with homogenous
productivity linearized at zero inflation. Optimal stabilization policies are the same in both
models, and the Taylor principle ensures determinacy in either model.
Key Words
- heterogenous firms
- Optimal long-run inflation
- trend inflation