Economic Outlook

Joint Economic Forecast 2/20: Recovery Loses Momentum - Economy and Politics Still Shaped by the Pandemic


  • Holtemöller
  • O.
  • Kooths
  • S.
  • Michelsen
  • C.
  • Wollmershäuser
  • T.
  • Schmidt
  • T.
Publication Date

The corona pandemic leaves substantial marks in the German economy and its impact is more persistent than assumed in spring. In their autumn report, the leading German economic research institutes have revised their economic outlook downwards by roughly one percentage point for both this and next year. They now expect gross domestic product to fall by 5.4 percent in 2020 (previously -4.2%) and to grow by 4.7 percent (5.8%) in 2021 and 2.7 percent in 2022.

Kiel Institute Expert