Economic Outlook

Joint Economic Forecast 1/22: From Pandemic to Energy Crisis: Economy and Politics under Permanent Stress


  • Holtemöller
  • O.
  • Gornig
  • P.D.M.
  • Schmidt
  • T.
  • Wollmershäuser
  • T.
  • Kooths
  • S.
Publication Date

The German economy is steering through difficult waters and faces the highest inflation rates in decades. In their spring report, the leading German economic research institutes revise their outlook for this year significantly downward. The recovery from the COVID-19 crisis is slowing down as a result of the war in Ukraine, but remains on track. The institutes expect GDP to increase by 2.7 and 3.1 percent in 2022 and 2023 respectively. In the event of an immediate interruption to Russian gas supplies, a total of 220 billion euros in German economic output would be at risk in both years.

Kiel Institute Expert