Recent academic publications

Jävervall, S.; Khoban, R. (forthcoming): The Impact of Trade Liberalization in the Presence of Political Distortions. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics. link

Barsbai, T.; Steinmayr, A.; Winter, C. (2025): Immigrating into a Recession: Evidence from Family Migrants to the United States. Journal of Labor Economics, 0. link

Herkenhoff, P.; Krautheim, S.; Semrau, F.O.; Steglich, F. (2024): Corporate Social Responsibility along the Global Value Chain. Journal of Development Economics 167, 103236. link

Kaiser, T.; Lusardi, A.; Menkhoff, L.; Urban, C. (2022): Financial Education Affects Financial Knowledge and Downstream Behaviors. Journal of Financial Economics 145 (2), 255–272. link

Kaiser, T.; Menkhoff, L. (2022): Active Learning Improves Financial Education: Experimental Evidence from Uganda. Journal of Development Economics 157, 102870. link

Budjan, A.J.; Fuchs, A. (2021): Democracy and Aid Donorship. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 13 (4), 217–238. link

Dreher, A.; Fuchs, A.; Parks, B.; Strange, A.; Tierney, M.J. (2021): Aid, China, and Growth: Evidence from a New Global Development Finance Dataset. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 13 (2), 135–174. link

Khadjavi, M.; Sipangule, K.; Thiele, R. (2021): Social Capital and Large-Scale Agricultural Investments: An Experimental Investigation. The Economic Journal 131 (633), 420–449. link

Menkhoff, L.; Rieth, M.; Stöhr, T. (2021): The Dynamic Impact of FX Interventions on Financial Markets. The Review of Economics and Statistics 103 (5), 939–953. link

Böhme, M.H.; Gröger, A.; Stöhr, T. (2020): Searching for a Better Life: Predicting International Migration with Online Search Keywords. Journal of Development Economics 142, 102347. link

Further Publications since 2022

Grohmann, A.; Menkhoff, L.; Merkle, C.; Schmacker, R. (forthcoming): Earn More Tomorrow: Overconfidence, Income Expectations, and Consumer Indebtedness. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Article jmcb.13157. link

Thiele, R.; Necker, T.; Spritzer, C. (forthcoming): Diversifying European supply chains: Can Africa play a role? link

Asmus-Bluhm, G.; Eichenauer, V.Z..; Fuchs, A.; Parks, B. (2025): Does India Use Development Finance to Compete With China? A Subnational Analysis. Journal of Conflict Resolution 69 (2-3), 406–433. link

Barsbai, T.; Bartos, V.; Licuanan, V.; Steinmayr, Andreas; Tiongson, Erwin; Yang, Dean (2025): Picture This: Social Distance and the Mistreatment of Migrant Workers. Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics. link

Becker, M.; Heidland, T. (2025): Geopolitical Tensions and Migration. Vierteljahreshefte zur Arbeits- und Wirtschaftsforschung 2 (1), 23–35. link

Beckmann, J.; Schweickert, R.; Jahn, M. (2025): Political Business Cycles in Varieties of Capitalistic Systems. Economics & Politics 37 (2), 653–668. link

Bluhm, R.; Dreher, A.; Fuchs, A.; Parks, B.C..; Strange, A.M.; Tierney, M.J. (2025): Connective financing: Chinese infrastructure projects and the diffusion of economic activity in developing countries. Journal of Urban Economics 145, 103730. link

Boss, K.; Groeger, A.; Heidland, T.; Krueger, F.; Zheng, C. (2025): Forecasting bilateral asylum seeker flows with high-dimensional data and machine learning techniques. Journal of Economic Geography 25 (1), 3–19. link

Brandi, C.; Kamin, K.; Thiele, R. (2025): Africa’s regional and global integration: introduction to the special issue. Review of World Economics 161 (1), 1–5. link

Fuchs, A.; Kaplan, L.; Kis-Katos, K.; Leue, S.; Turbanisch, F.; Wang, F. (2025): Mask wars: Sourcing a critical medical product from China in times of COVID-19. Journal of International Economics 155, 104068. link

Gautier, T. (2025): From missing brothers to educated sisters: The effects of victimization during the Rwandan genocide. World Development 191, 106945. link

Heidland, T.; Wichardt, P.C. (2025): Conflicting identities: Cosmopolitan or anxious? Appreciating concerns of host country population improves attitudes towards immigrants. Social Forces 103 (3), 1039–1058. link

Koch, M.; Menkhoff, L. (2025): The non-linear impact of risk tolerance on entrepreneurial profit and business survival. Small Business Economics 64 (4), 1643–1670. link

Krantz, S. (2025): Patterns of global and regional integration in the East African Community. Review of World Economics 161 (1), 151–230. link

Lay, J.; Pahl, S.; Thiele, R. (2025): The empirics of and policies for sustainability in global value chains. World Development 186, 106850. link

Tjaden, J.; Heidland, T. (2025): Did Merkel's 2015 decision attract more migration to Germany? European Journal of Political Research 64 (1), 389–405. link

Wellner, L.; Dreher, A.; Fuchs, A.; Parks, B.C.; Strange, A. (2025): Can aid buy foreign public support? Evidence from Chinese development finance. Economic Development and Cultural Change 73 (2), 523–578. link

Arango-Lozano, L.; Menkhoff, L.; Rodríguez-Novoa, D.; Villamizar-Villegas, M. (2024): The effectiveness of FX interventions: A Meta-Analysis. Journal of Financial Stability 74, 100794. link

Balma, L.; Heidland, T.; Jävervall, S.; Mahlkow, H.; Mukasa, A.N.; Woldemichael, A. (2024): Long-run impacts of the conflict in Ukraine on grain imports and prices in Africa. African Development Review 36, 10–24. link

Benček, D.; Schneiderheinze, C. (2024): Higher economic growth in poor countries, lower migration flows to the OECD – Revisiting the migration hump with panel data. World Development 182, 106655. link

Dražanová, L.; Gonnot, J.; Heidland, T.; Krüger, F. (2024): Which individual-level factors explain public attitudes toward immigration? a meta-analysis. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies 50 (2), 317–340. link

Khadjavi, M.; Sipangule, K.; Thiele, R. (2024): Exposure to large-scale farms increases smallholders’ competitive behavior and closes the gender gap. World Development 176, 106519. link

Krantz, S. (2024): Africa's Great Moderation. Journal of African Economies 33 (5), 515–537. link

Lanati, M.; Thiele, R. (2024a): South-south refugee movements: Do pull factors play a role? Economics & Politics 36 (2), 928–958. link

Lanati, M.; Thiele, R. (2024b): The link between economic growth and emigration from developing countries: Does migrants' skill composition matter? Kyklos 77 (1), 213–248. link

Megatrends Afrika (2024): Joint futures: Ideas for Germany's Africa policy. link

Boer, L.; Menkhoff, L.; Rieth, M. (2023): The multifaceted impact of US trade policy on financial markets. Journal of Applied Econometrics 38 (3), 388–406. link

Fratzscher, M.; Heidland, T.; Menkhoff, L.; Sarno, L.; Schmeling, M. (2023): Foreign Exchange Intervention: A New Database. IMF Economic Review 71 (4), 852–884. link

Jeannet, A.-M.; Heidland, T.; Ruhs, M. (2023): A need for control? Political trust and public preferences for asylum and refugee policy. European Political Science Review 15 (3), 427–443. link

Kleemann, L.; Riekhof, M.-C. (2023): Background risk and risk-taking – evidence from the field. Environment and Development Economics 28 (3), 265–284. link

Mukashov, A. (2023): Parameter uncertainty in policy planning models: Using portfolio management methods to choose optimal policies under world market volatility. Economic Analysis and Policy 77, 187–202. link

Schütt, C.A.; Pipke, D.; Detlefsen, L.; Grimalda, G. (2023): Does ethnic heterogeneity decrease workers’ effort in the presence of income redistribution? An experimental analysis. European Journal of Political Economy 79, 102440. link

Vrânceanu, A.; Dinas, E.; Heidland, T.; Ruhs, M. (2023): The European Refugee Crisis and Public Support for the Externalisation of Migration Management. European Journal of Political Research 62 (4), 1146–1167. link

Ziesmer, J.; Jin, D.; Mukashov, A.; Henning, C. (2023): Integrating fundamental model uncertainty in policy analysis. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences 87, 101591. link

Barsbai, T.; Schmidt, U.; Zirpel, U. (2022): Overconfidence and Risk Taking in the Field: Evidence from Ethiopian Farmers. Economic Development and Cultural Change 70 (3), 1065–1102. link

Beckmann, J.; Czudaj, R.L. (2022): Exchange rate expectation, abnormal returns, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 196, 1–25. link

Dreher, A.; Fuchs, A.; Parks, B.; Strange, A.; Tierney, M.J.; Dreher, A.; Fuchs, A.; Parks, B.; Strange, A.; Tierney, M.J. (2022): Banking on Beijing: Cambridge University Press. 

Kaiser, T.; Lusardi, A.; Menkhoff, L.; Urban, C. (2022): Financial education affects financial knowledge and downstream behaviors. Journal of Financial Economics 145 (2), 255–272. link

Kaiser, T.; Menkhoff, L. (2022): Active learning improves financial education: Experimental evidence from Uganda. Journal of Development Economics 157, 102870. link

Mukashov, A.; Breisinger, C.; Engelke, W.; Wiebelt, M. (2022): Modeling conflict impact and postconflict reconstruction: The case of Yemen. Economic Systems 46 (1), 100940. link

Nolte, K.; Sipangule, K.; Wendt, N. (2022): Agricultural households in times of crisis. The COVID-19 pandemic, livelihoods and land-use decisions. Journal of Land Use Science 17 (1), 134–160. link