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  1. Publication

    The role of socio-historic factors and income inequality in global innovation

    Forthcoming

    In order to better understand why some nations are more innovative than others, this paper considers the influence of socio-historic dimensions of colonialism and income inequality. Using data from 72 nations over the years 1997–2018, we find that...

  2. Publication

    Debt Distress on China's Belt and Road

    Forthcoming

    Over the past decade, Chinese state-owned banks have lent record amounts to developing countries as part of the so-called Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)

  3. Publication

    Economic Zones and Local Income Inequality: Evidence from Indonesia

    Forthcoming

    Economic zones can be powerful drivers of economic growth in developing countries. However, less is known about their distributional impact on the local society. This paper provides empirical evidence from Indonesian provinces on the relationship...

  4. Publication

    The European refugee crisis and public support for the externalisation of migration management

    Forthcoming

    What preferences do people have for cross-country cooperation on irregular migration and refugee protection? While existing research improves our unders

  5. Publication

    Africa’s Female Entrepreneurs – Underfunded or Underperforming?"

    Forthcoming

    We explore the export performance of Africa’s underperforming female entrepreneurs, using the Ghanaian ISSER-IGC panel, a comprehensive dataset of manufacturing firms for 2011–2015. Uniquely, the data provides information about the severity of key...

  6. Media Information

    Belt and Road Bailout Lending Reaches Record Levels

    28.03.2023

    China has emerged as a lender of last resort for developing countries that are having difficulty repaying their Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) debts. According to a new study by researchers at AidData, the World Bank, the Harvard Kennedy School, and...

  7. Publication

    China as an International Lender of Last Resort

    27.03.2023

    This paper shows that China has launched a new global system for cross-border rescue lending to countries in debt distress. It builds the first comprehe

  8. Publication

    Export impact on dividend policy for big Colombian exporting firms, 2006–2014

    22.03.2023

    This paper studies the impact of exogenous export demand shocks on firms’ dividend policy using firm specific real exchange rate variation as instrumental variable. IV exclusion restriction is plausibly satisfied because real exchange rate shocks...

  9. Publication

    Forecasting Bilateral Refugee Flows with High-dimensional Data and Machine Learning Techniques

    16.03.2023

    We develop monthly refugee flow forecasting models for 150 origin countries to the EU27, using machine learning and high-dimensional data, including dig

  10. Publication

    World economy in spring 2023: Stubborn inflation, moderate growth

    15.03.2023

    KKB 99: The recovery of the global economy from the Covid crisis came to an end in 2022 amid high energy prices and great uncertainty.

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