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    • Publications (7)
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  • Experts

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Research Center

Business Cycles and Growth

Policy Article

The Potential of Big Data for Macroeconomic Analysis

17.03.2021

KBW 32: The buzzword "big data" is used to describe new and unconventional data sources that differ from standard business statistics.

Topic

Economic Outlook

Our most recent forecasts for Germany, the Euro Area and the World Economy as well as current commentary on economic and macroeconomic issues for various economic areas

Project

Estimating potential output and the output gap – An analysis of revisions and cyclicality

01.01.2017 - 31.12.2018

This study aims at investigating the extent and causes of revisions of output gap estimates and at analyzing methodological issues along different phases of the business cycle. Based on this, possibilities for improvement of the European Commission's...

Economic Outlook

Clouded outlook for the world economy

10.03.2016

KKB 15: Global growth has slowed down recently. While the world economy should gradually regain pace over the coming quarters, overall growth momentum is expect

Project

Joint Economic Forecast

01.10.2016 - 31.03.2020

Embedded in a comprehensive outlook for the world economy, the Joint Economic Forecast („Gemeinschaftsdiagnose“, GD) prepares in-debth analyses and forecasts for the German economy (detailed 2-year horizon and 5-year medium term projections including...

Policy Article

Estimating potential output and the output gap – An analysis of the EU approach and suggestions for improvement (in German)

15.02.2019

KBW 19: Measures of potential output and the output gap are of great importance for policy-makers who need to assess the cyclical position of the economy and its productive capacity.

Economic Outlook

German economy closer to its limit

22.03.2018

KKB 41: The air for the economic upswing in Germany is getting thinner. We expect German GDP to grow by 2.5 percent this year and by 2.3 percent in 2019 after an increase of 2.2 percent in 2017.

Economic Outlook

German Economy: Temporary slowdown, boom not over yet

22.06.2018

KKB 44: The strong economic upswing in Germany has taken a break. For the current year, we revise our GDP growth forecast down by 0.5 percentage points

Economic Outlook

Global growth remains sluggish

13.06.2019

KKB 55: Despite a temporary pick-up in world production at the start of the year, growth will continue to moderate amid a further deterioration in economic sentiment and elevated levels of uncertainty.

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