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Working Paper

China’s Overseas Lending

28.06.2019

Compared with China’s dominance in world trade, its expanding role in global finance is poorly documented and understood.

Working Paper

Coping with Disasters: Two Centuries of International Official Lending

10.06.2020

Official (government-to-government) lending is much larger than commonly known, often surpassing total private cross-border capital flows, especially du

Working Paper

Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo

11.02.2019

This paper studies external sovereign bonds as an asset class. We compile a new database of 220,000 monthly prices of foreign-currency government bonds

Working Paper

Foreign-Law Bonds: Can They Reduce Sovereign Borrowing Costs?

01.06.2018

Governments often issue bonds in foreign jurisdictions, which can provide additional legal protection vis-à-vis domestic bonds. This paper studies the

Working Paper

Populist Leaders and the Economy

26.10.2020

Populism at the country level is at an all-time high, with more than 25% of nations currently governed by populists. How do economies perform under popu

Working Paper

Exportweltmeister: The Low Returns on Germany's Capital Exports

04.07.2019

Germany is world champion in exporting capital (“Exportweltmeister”). No other country invests larger amounts of savings outside its borders.

Working Paper

Resolving Sovereign Debt Crises: the Role of Political Risk

23.08.2018

Sovereign defaults are bad news for investors and debtor countries, in particular if a default becomes messy and protracted. Why are some debt crises re

Working Paper

The Seniority Structure of Sovereign Debt

22.04.2019

Sovereign governments owe debt to many foreign creditors and can choose which creditors to favor when making payments. This paper documents the de facto

Working Paper

The Effect of Labor Migration on the Diffusion of Democracy: Evidence from a Former Soviet Republic

01.08.2013

Migration contributes to the circulation of goods, knowledge, and ideas. Using community and individual-level data from Moldova, we show that the emigration episode that started in the late 1990s strongly affected political preferences and electoral...

Working Paper

The Economic Drivers of Human Trafficking: Micro-Evidence from Five Eastern European Countries

01.02.2009

Human trafficking is a humanitarian problem of global scale, but quantitative research on the issue barely exists. This paper is a first attempt to explore the economic drivers of human trafficking and migrant exploitation using micro data. We argue...

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