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* 34 Results

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    • Publications (34)
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    • Thomas Lux (34)
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Working Paper

Core-Periphery Structure in the Overnight Money Market: Evidence from the e-MID Trading Platform

01.03.2012

We explore the network topology arising from a dataset of the overnight interbank transactions on the e-MID trading platform from January 1999 to December 2010. In order to shed light on the hierarchical structure of the banking system, we estimate...

Working Paper

Emergence of a Core-Periphery Structure in a Simple Dynamic Model of the Interbank Market

01.04.2014

This paper studies a simple dynamic model of interbank credit relationships. Starting from a given balance sheet structure of a banking system with a realistic distribution of bank sizes, the necessity of establishing interbank credit connections...

Working Paper

The Effects of a Financial Transaction Tax in an Artificial Financial Market

22.08.2013

We investigate the effects of a Financial Transaction Tax (FTT) in an order-driven artificial financial market. FTTs are meant to limit short-term speculative behavior by reducing the amount of excess liquidity in the system. To quantify these...

Working Paper

Switching Rates and the Asymptotic Behavior of Herding Models

01.02.2010

Markov chains have experienced a surge of economic interest in the form of behavioral agent-based models that aim at explaining the statistical regularities of financial returns. We review some of the relevant mathematical facts and show how they...

Working Paper

Stochastic Behavioral Asset Pricing Models and the Stylized Facts

01.06.2008

High-frequency financial data are characterized by a set of ubiquitous statistical properties that prevail with surprising uniformity. While these 'stylized facts' have been well-known for decades, attempts at their behavioral explanation have...

Working Paper

Relative Forecasting Performance of Volatility Models: Monte Carlo Evidence

01.01.2010

A Monte Carlo (MC) experiment is conducted to study the forecasting performance of a variety of volatility models under alternative data generating processes (DGPs). The models included in the MC study are the (Fractionally Integrated) Generalized...

Working Paper

Rational Forecasts or Social Opinion Dynamics? Identification of Interaction Effects in a Business Climate Survey

01.01.2008

This paper develops a methodology for estimating the parameters of dynamic opinion or expectation formation processes with social interactions. We study a simple stochastic framework of a collective process of opinion formation by a group of agents...

Working Paper

Multifractality and Long-Range Dependence of Asset Returns: The Scaling Behaviour of the Markov-Switching Multifractal Model with Lognormal Volatility Components

01.01.2008

In this paper we consider daily financial data from various sources (stock market indices, foreign exchange rates and bonds) and analyze their multi-scaling properties by estimating the parameters of a Markov-switching multifractal model (MSM) with...

Working Paper

Multifractal Models in Finance: Their Origin, Propterties, and Applications

01.08.2013

This chapter provides an overview over the recently developed so called multifractal (MF) approach for modeling and forecasting volatility. We outline the genesis of this approach from similar models of turbulent flows in statistical physics and...

Working Paper

The Small Core of the German Corporate Board Network: New Evidence from 2010

02.11.2011

Milaković, Alfarano and Lux (2010) have identified a small core of directors who are both highly central to the entire network of German corporate boards as well as closely connected among themselves. While their analysis...

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