* 5 Results enter search term Search Reset filter Suchfilter Content Type Publications (5) Topics Business Cycle (5) Fiscal Policy & National Budgets (5) Germany (5) Europe (2) European Union & Euro (2) Economic & Financial Crises (1) Monetary Policy (1) Tax Policy (1) Publicationtype Policy Article (4) Brief (2) Working Paper (1) Units Forecasting Center (5) Special Topics (3) Economic Outlook (2) Experts Jens Boysen-Hogrefe (5) Martin Ademmer (3) Nils Jannsen (2) Stefan Kooths (2) Björn van Roye (1) Dominik Groll (1) Joachim Scheide (1) Kai Carstensen (1) Klaus-Jürgen Gern (1) Philipp Hauber (1) Thies Rossian (1) Tim Schwarzmüller (1) Ulrich Stolzenburg (1) Show more Date Last Month Last Year Select Period start date to end date Sort by Relevance Date Aktive Filter Topics: Business Cycle Topics: Germany Experts: Jens Boysen-Hogrefe Remove all filters Policy Article Financial and economic policy with continued monetary expansion (in German) 01.01.2014 KBW 5: The report addresses potential effects on the German economy by the extremely expansionary monetary policy of the Eurosystem with large liquidity flows into Germany. The authors discuss various monetary transmission channels from a theoretical... Working Paper The impact of forecast errors on fiscal planning and debt accumulation 23.04.2019 We investigate the impact of errors in medium run tax revenue forecasts on the final budget balance. Our analysis is based on fiscal data for the entirety of German states and takes advantage of revenue forecasts and respective errors that can be... Policy Article Does the medium-term tax estimate fit the financial planning of the federal states? (in German) 01.07.2014 Kiel Policy Brief No. 78: Official tax projections often exhibit increasing tax ratios in the medium term. However, such tendencies cannot be observed in actual tax revenues. Policy Article Despite full cash boxes: do not implement every election promise in the next coalition agreement! (in German) 01.01.2018 Kiel Policy Brief No. 112: The paper addresses the public budget surpluses in Germany against the backdrop of the coalition talks between CDU/CSU and SPD. The author explains that Policy Article Estimating potential output and the output gap – An analysis of the EU approach and suggestions for improvement (in German) 15.02.2019 KBW 19: Measures of potential output and the output gap are of great importance for policy-makers who need to assess the cyclical position of the economy and its productive capacity.