* 3 Results enter search term Search Reset filter Suchfilter Content Type Publications (2) Media information (1) Topics Business Cycle (3) Europe (3) Fiscal Policy & National Budgets (3) Germany (3) European Union & Euro (2) Business Cycle Euro Area (1) Business Cycle Germany (1) Economic & Financial Crises (1) Emerging Markets & Developing Countries (1) International Trade (1) Publicationtype Policy Article (1) Working Paper (1) Units Economic Outlook (3) Forecasting Center (3) Experts Jens Boysen-Hogrefe (2) Martin Ademmer (2) Stefan Kooths (2) Kai Carstensen (1) Nils Jannsen (1) Philipp Hauber (1) Thies Rossian (1) Ulrich Stolzenburg (1) Date Last Month Last Year Select Period start date to end date Sort by Relevance Date Aktive Filter Topics: Business Cycle Topics: Europe Topics: Germany Units: Economic Outlook Remove all filters Media Information Kiel Institute Economic Outlook: Final Stages of the Upswing are Looming 06.09.2018 The economic researchers at the Kiel Institute have revised their forecast for the GDP growth rate for the current and coming year slightly downwards. They now expect growth of 1.9 percent for 2018 and 2.0 percent for 2019. This means that the boom... Working Paper The impact of forecast errors on fiscal planning and debt accumulation 23.04.2019 We investigate the impact of errors in medium run tax revenue forecasts on the final budget balance. Our analysis is based on fiscal data for the entirety of German states and takes advantage of revenue forecasts and respective errors that can be... Policy Article Estimating potential output and the output gap – An analysis of the EU approach and suggestions for improvement (in German) 15.02.2019 KBW 19: Measures of potential output and the output gap are of great importance for policy-makers who need to assess the cyclical position of the economy and its productive capacity.