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Working Paper

Sentiment Dynamics and Stock Returns: The Case of the German Stock Market

01.12.2008

We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal relationship between investors' mood and subsequent stock price changes. In contrast to extant literature for other countries, a...

Working Paper

Modeling the Dynamics of EU Economic Sentiment Indicators: An Interaction-Based Approach

01.02.2009

This paper estimates a simple univariate model of expectation or opinion formation in continuous time adapting a ‘canonical’ stochastic model of collective opinion dynamics (Weidlich and Haag, 1983; Lux, 1995, 2007). This framework is applied to a...

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