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13 Results

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    • Publications (5)
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  • Experts

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Research Center

Business Cycles and Growth

Research Center

Forecasting

Policy Article

The Potential of Big Data for Macroeconomic Analysis

17.03.2021

KBW 32: The buzzword "big data" is used to describe new and unconventional data sources that differ from standard business statistics.

Topic

Economic Outlook

Our most recent forecasts for Germany, the Euro Area and the World Economy as well as current commentary on economic and macroeconomic issues for various economic areas

Project

Estimating potential output and the output gap – An analysis of revisions and cyclicality

01.01.2017 - 31.12.2018

This study aims at investigating the extent and causes of revisions of output gap estimates and at analyzing methodological issues along different phases of the business cycle. Based on this, possibilities for improvement of the European Commission's...

Project

Scientific advisory services to the European Parliament's Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs supporting the Monetary Dialogue with the European Central Bank

01.03.2015 - 30.06.2020

Since March 2015 the Kiel Institute for the World Economy advises the European Parliament on issues related to monetary and economic policy. In particular the Kiel Institute prepares surveys on current issues of currency and monetary policies in the...

Project

Joint Economic Forecast

01.10.2016 - 31.03.2020

Embedded in a comprehensive outlook for the world economy, the Joint Economic Forecast („Gemeinschaftsdiagnose“, GD) prepares in-debth analyses and forecasts for the German economy (detailed 2-year horizon and 5-year medium term projections including...

Project

Scientific advisory services to German participants in the Working Group on the Methodology to assess Lisbon related structural reforms (LIME) of the Economic Policy Committee of the European Union 2019

01.01.2019 - 31.12.2019

The LIME working group is intended to drive forward the development of methodological approaches to track, analyse and model structural reforms carried out in the context of the Lisbon strategy and the Integrated Guidelines in order to increase...

Policy Article

Estimating potential output and the output gap – An analysis of the EU approach and suggestions for improvement (in German)

15.02.2019

KBW 19: Measures of potential output and the output gap are of great importance for policy-makers who need to assess the cyclical position of the economy and its productive capacity.

Economic Outlook

German economy at full steam

14.12.2017

KKB 38: The German economy is running at full steam. Economic activity has further accelerated in the current year and leading indicators suggest that the rapid pace of expansion will continue in the coming year.

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