This study aims at investigating the extent and causes of revisions of output gap estimates and at analyzing methodological issues along different phases of the business cycle. Based on this, possibilities for improvement of the European Commission's...

Trump has failed with his campaign promises to achieve complete revitalization of the US manufacturing industry. His economic policy has not led to any substantial improvement. Even the industries that enjoyed particular protection by the Trump...

... Economist Philipp Hauber at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy said that "in fact China has been the locomotive of the global economy in recent years. That does not mean that the development of the economy in the U.S. is inconsequen ...

The purpose of the report is to provide a systematic overview of the relevant data related to Big Data and their potential for macroeconomic analysis (in particular business cycle monitoring and forecasting). In this context, both the possibilities...

Embedded in a comprehensive outlook for the world economy, the Joint Economic Forecast („Gemeinschaftsdiagnose“, GD) prepares in-debth analyses and forecasts for the German economy (detailed 2-year horizon and 5-year medium term projections including...

Construction of a tool which allows the simulation of various different scenarios for the Egyptian economy to be formulated by ECES. Support of members of the ECES team in implementation and interpretation of the scenarios.

In recent years the German current account balance has risen to extremely high levels both in historical comparison and by international standards. The persistently high current account surpluses are subject to increasing international criticism...