• For Media
EN / DE
IFW-Logo
  • Topics
    • International Trade
    • The Corona Crisis
    • Economic Outlook
    • Climate and Energy
    • Refugees in Europe
    • The G20
    • Tension within the European Union
    • Economic Policy in Germany
    • All Topics
  • Experts
  • Publications
  • Institute
    • About the Kiel Institute
      • Overview page
      • Organization
      • History
      • Club of Economic Science
      • Partners & Networks
      • Support us
    • Research Centers & Initiatives
      • Overview page
      • Business Cycles and Growth
      • Global Commons and Climate Policy
      • Global Cooperation and Social Cohesion
      • Innovation and International Competition
      • International Development
      • International Finance and Macroeconomics
      • International Trade and Investment
      • Presidential Task Force
      • Kiel Institute Africa Initiative
      • Kiel Institute China Initiative
      • Kiel Centre for Globalization
    • Education
      • Overview page
      • Advanced Studies Program
      • Kiel Institute Summer School
    • Working at the Kiel Institute
      • Overview page
      • Job Vacancies
      • Equal Opportunity
    • Events
      • Overview page
      • Global Solutions Summit
      • International Business Cycle Forum
      • Conferences
      • Prizes and Awards
      • Seminars & Workshops
      • Kiel Institute Summer School
  • For Media
EN / DE
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Xing
  • LinkedIn
  • YouTube

36 Results

Suchfilter

  • Content Type

    • Publications (35)
    • Research Center (1)
  • Topics

    • Business Cycle (36)
    • Business Cycle World (26)
    • Labor Market (10)
    • Monetary Policy (9)
    • Economic & Financial Crises (7)
    • Business Cycle Euro Area (6)
    • Growth (6)
    • Fiscal Policy & National Budgets (4)
    • Globalization (4)
    • European Union & Euro (3)
    • International Trade (3)
    • Tax Policy (3)
    • Welfare State (3)
    • Behavioral Economics (2)
    • Climate (1)
    • Germany (1)
    • Show more
  • Publication Type

    • Journal Article (18)
    • Working Paper (17)
  • Research

    • Forecasting and Business Cycle Analysis (36)
    • Macroeconomic Research (35)
    • Macroeconomic Policies over the Business Cycle (14)
    • Business Cycles and Growth (13)
    • International Macroeconomics (9)
    • Forecasting (1)
  • Experts

    • Nils Jannsen (9)
    • Maik Wolters (6)
    • Wolfgang Lechthaler (6)
    • Jens Boysen-Hogrefe (5)
    • Claire Boeing-Reicher (4)
    • Martin Ademmer (3)
    • Andrea Vaona (2)
    • Britta Gehrke (2)
    • Carsten-Patrick Meier (2)
    • Christian Merkl (2)
    • Christopher Reicher (2)
    • Dennis Wesselbaum (2)
    • Jonas Dovern (2)
    • Mariya Mileva (2)
    • Peter Tillmann (2)
    • Steffen Ahrens (2)
    • Stephen Sacht (2)
    • Tae-Seok Jang (2)
    • Almut Balleer (1)
    • Christian Aßmann (1)
    • David Pinto (1)
    • Dennis J. Snower (1)
    • Dominik Groll (1)
    • Galina Potjagailo (1)
    • Inske Pirschel (1)
    • Mario Larch (1)
    • Markus Pape (1)
    • Mewael F. Tesfaselassie (1)
    • Mewael Tesfaselassie (1)
    • Nooshin Nejati (1)
    • Philipp Hauber (1)
    • Philipp L. Pfeiffer (1)
    • Reiner Franke (1)
    • Salomon Fiedler (1)
    • Saskia Meuchelböck (1)
    • Show more
  • Last Month Last Year Select Period
    to

Sort by

  • Relevance
  • Date

Aktive Filter

  • Topics: Business Cycle
  • Research: Forecasting and Business Cycle Analysis
  • Remove all filters

Research Center

Forecasting and Business Cycle Analysis

Working Paper

Endogenous Growth, Skill Obsolescence and Output Hysteresis in a New Keynesian Model with Unemployment

31.08.2020

We embed human capital-based endogenous growth into a New-Keynesian model with search and matching frictions in the labor market and skill obsolescence

Journal Article

Bayesian Analysis of Static and Dynamic Factor Models: An Ex-Post Approach towards the Rotation Problem

01.01.2016

Due to their indeterminacies, static and dynamic factor models require identifying assumptions to guarantee uniqueness of the parameter estimator. The indeterminacy of the parameter estimator with respect to an orthogonal transformation is known as...

Working Paper

The German Labor Market During the Great Recession: Shocks and Institutions

01.04.2017

This paper analyzes Germany’s unusual labor market experience during the Great Recession. We estimate a general equilibrium model with a detailed labor market block for post-unification Germany. This allows us to disentangle the role of institutions...

Journal Article

How the Baby Boomers' Retirement Wave Distorts Model-Based Output Gap Estimates

08.06.2018

This paper illustrates, based on an example, the importance of consistency between empirical measurement and the concept of variables in estimated macroeconomic models. Since standard New Keynesian models do not account for demographic trends and...

Working Paper

The Effects of the Supply of Credit on Real Estate Prices: Venezuela as a Policy Laboratory

01.11.2016

We identify the effects of the supply of mortgage credit on house prices, using the politicallydirected credit-targeting regime of Venezuela as quasi-natural experiment. We find a large effect of the supply of housing credit on time path of house...

Journal Article

Matching labor’s share in a search and matching model

01.06.2016

Labor’s share of income varies over the business cycle, and different theories of nominal rigidities predict different behaviors for labor’s share. Based on evidence from a VAR for the USA, labor’s share falls sharply after a positive productivity...

Journal Article

The Intensive Margin Puzzle and Labor Market Adjustment Costs

01.04.2016

This paper documents a puzzling fact, namely that there is a significant negative relation between employment protection legislation and the usage of the intensive margin of labor market adjustments. I make use of a real business cycle model and...

Journal Article

The Price-Price Phillips Curve in Small Open Economies and Monetary Unions: Theory and Empirics

01.06.2015

This paper extends the efficiency wages/partially adaptive expectations Phillips curve, otherwise known as the price-price Phillips curve, from a closed economy context to an open economy one with both commodity trade and capital mobility. We also...

Journal Article

Valuation effects and long-run real exchange rate dynamics

01.03.2015

This paper uses the Johansen test for cointegration to check the prediction of a portfolio balance model that predictable valuation effects are associated with a saddle-path dynamic relationship between the net foreign asset position and the real...

1 2 3 4
»
To Top

Connect

  • Experts
  • Job Vacancies
  • Media
Newsletter registration is loading...

Overview

  • About the Kiel Institute
  • Research Centers & Initiatives
  • Publications
  • Education
  • Events

Kiel Institute for
the World Economy

Kiellinie 66 | 24105 Kiel
Institute on Google Maps Give us a call T +49 431 8814-1 Send us an e-mail E E-Mail Address protected. Please enable Javascript.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Xing
  • LinkedIn
  • YouTube
Logo of the Leibniz Association
  • Legal Notice
  • Privacy
  • eAccessibility