6 Results enter search term Search Reset filter Suchfilter Content Type Publications (6) Topics Business Cycle (2) Business Cycle World (2) Behavioral Economics (1) Publication Type Journal Article (4) Working Paper (2) Research Forecasting and Business Cycle Analysis (6) Macroeconomic Research (6) Macroeconomic Policies over the Business Cycle (1) Experts Stephen Sacht (6) Tae-Seok Jang (3) Reiner Franke (2) Steffen Ahrens (2) Date Last Month Last Year Select Period start date to end date Sort by Relevance Date Aktive Filter Research: Forecasting and Business Cycle Analysis Experts: Stephen Sacht Remove all filters Journal Article Animal Spirits and the Business Cycle: Empirical Evidence from Moment Matching 01.02.2016 In this article, we empirically examine a hybrid New-Keynesian model with heterogeneous bounded rational agents who may adopt an optimistic or pessimistic attitude—so called animal spirits—toward future movements of the output and inflation gap. The... Journal Article Some Observations in the High-Frequency Versions of a Standard New-Keynesian Model 01.01.2014 In a small-scale New-Keynesian model with a hybrid Phillips curve and IS equation, the paper is concerned with an arbitrary frequency of the agents' synchronized decision making. It investigates the validity of a fundamental methodological precept... Journal Article Moment Matching versus Bayesian Estimation: Backward-Looking Behaviour in the New-Keynesian Baseline Model 01.01.2015 The paper considers an elementary New-Keynesian three-equation model and compares its Bayesian estimation based on conventional priors to the results from the method of moments (MM), which seeks to match a finite set of the model-generated second... Working Paper Identification of Animal Spirits in a Bounded Rationality Model: An Application to the Euro Area 01.10.2012 In this paper we empirically examine a heterogenous bounded rationality version of a hybrid New-Keynesian model. The model is estimated via the simulated method of moments using Euro Area data from 1975Q1 to 2009Q4. It is generally assumed that... Working Paper Estimating a High-Frequency New-Keynesian Phillips Curve 01.03.2011 This paper estimates a high-frequency New Keynesian Phillips curve via the Generalized Method of Moments. Allowing for higher-thanusual frequencies strongly mitigates the well-known problems of smallsample biases and structural breaks. Applying a... Journal Article Estimating a High-Frequency New-Keynesian Phillips Curve 01.03.2014 This paper estimates a high-frequency New Keynesian Phillips curve via the Generalized Method of Moments. Allowing for higher-than-usual frequencies strongly mitigates the problems of small-sample bias and structural breaks. Applying a daily...
Journal Article Animal Spirits and the Business Cycle: Empirical Evidence from Moment Matching 01.02.2016 In this article, we empirically examine a hybrid New-Keynesian model with heterogeneous bounded rational agents who may adopt an optimistic or pessimistic attitude—so called animal spirits—toward future movements of the output and inflation gap. The...
Journal Article Some Observations in the High-Frequency Versions of a Standard New-Keynesian Model 01.01.2014 In a small-scale New-Keynesian model with a hybrid Phillips curve and IS equation, the paper is concerned with an arbitrary frequency of the agents' synchronized decision making. It investigates the validity of a fundamental methodological precept...
Journal Article Moment Matching versus Bayesian Estimation: Backward-Looking Behaviour in the New-Keynesian Baseline Model 01.01.2015 The paper considers an elementary New-Keynesian three-equation model and compares its Bayesian estimation based on conventional priors to the results from the method of moments (MM), which seeks to match a finite set of the model-generated second...
Working Paper Identification of Animal Spirits in a Bounded Rationality Model: An Application to the Euro Area 01.10.2012 In this paper we empirically examine a heterogenous bounded rationality version of a hybrid New-Keynesian model. The model is estimated via the simulated method of moments using Euro Area data from 1975Q1 to 2009Q4. It is generally assumed that...
Working Paper Estimating a High-Frequency New-Keynesian Phillips Curve 01.03.2011 This paper estimates a high-frequency New Keynesian Phillips curve via the Generalized Method of Moments. Allowing for higher-thanusual frequencies strongly mitigates the well-known problems of smallsample biases and structural breaks. Applying a...
Journal Article Estimating a High-Frequency New-Keynesian Phillips Curve 01.03.2014 This paper estimates a high-frequency New Keynesian Phillips curve via the Generalized Method of Moments. Allowing for higher-than-usual frequencies strongly mitigates the problems of small-sample bias and structural breaks. Applying a daily...