Rising prices as a result of the Ukraine war and increased supply bottlenecks due to renewed lockdowns in China are weighing on the recovery of the German economy, which is unlikely to do much more than stagnate in the second quarter. In its latest...

KKB 92: The German economy navigates troubled waters. The catch-up process in the contact-intensive service industries is continuing at a fast pace and companies in the manufacturing sector are sitting on well-filled order books.

China is perceived to rely on subsidizing firms in targeted industries to improve their performance and stay competitive. We implement an approach that allows for the joint estimation of direct and indirect effects of subsidies on subsidized and...

The German economy is steering through difficult waters and faces the highest inflation rates in decades. In their spring report, the leading German economic research institutes revise their outlook for this year significantly downward. The recovery...

The German economy is steering through difficult waters and faces the highest inflation rates in decades. In their spring report, the leading German economic research institutes revise their outlook for this year significantly downward.

The war in Ukraine is putting a noticeable strain on the German economy and increases the already strong inflationary pressure. However, the recovery is not breaking off. In its latest spring forecast, the Kiel Institute almost halves its forecast...

KKB 89: The German economy is once again facing strong headwinds. The war in Ukraine is leading to rising commodity prices, new supply bottlenecks and dwindling sales opportunities.

We investigate the impact of errors in medium run tax revenue forecasts on the final budget balance. Our analysis is based on fiscal data for the entire

KBW 38: The author reveals that despite a shrinking economy in the Corona year 2020, Hamburg and Schleswig-Holstein were spared a major labor market crisis.

Sovereign defaults on Chinese debts are frequent but, due to the opacity of China's lending, data on these defaults is scarce. A new study involving the Kiel Institute shows that restructurings with Chinese lenders now surpass the number of...