81 Results

KKB 62: The German economy is recovering only gradually. After a weak summer half-year, gross domestic product will hardly do more than stagnate in the final quarter of the current year.

KKB 59: The German economy is at the brink of a recession. Gross domestic product is likely to decline again in the third quarter.

KKB 58: The euro area economy is currently expanding at a moderate pace. The underlying momentum has slowed noticeably since early 2018, which is mainly attributable to lower external impulses and, subsequently, to an increasingly weakened industrial...

KKB 56: The German economy is facing strong headwinds. In recent months, economic momentum has continued to slow down and companies are much more pessimistic about the future.

We investigate the impact of errors in medium run tax revenue forecasts on the final budget balance. Our analysis is based on fiscal data for the entirety of German states and takes advantage of revenue forecasts and respective errors that can be...

KKB 53: The German economy has shifted down a gear. After still very high economic momentum in Germany until the middle of last year, production stalled noticeably.

KKB 52: The euro area economy has once again switched back a gear. The slowdown over the course of 2018 is mainly due to weaker impulses from the international environment and, to a lesser extent, to country-specific temporary factors.

Kiel Policy Brief No. 121: The author supports the hypothesis that the current positive financial position of the German health insurance is predominantly but not only driven by the revenue side.

KBW 19: Measures of potential output and the output gap are of great importance for policy-makers who need to assess the cyclical position of the economy and its productive capacity.

KKB 50: The upswing in Germany is starting to falter. In the third quarter, the economy shrank for the first time in three years. This decline was primarily due to special factors.