5 Results enter search term Search Reset filter Suchfilter Content Type Publications (5) Topics Business Cycle (2) Business Cycle Euro Area (2) Europe (1) Fiscal Policy & National Budgets (1) Germany (1) Publicationtype Working Paper (5) Units Economic Outlook (5) Forecasting Center (5) Forecasting and Business Cycle Analysis (1) Macroeconomic Policy under Market Imperfections (1) Experts Klaus-Jürgen Gern (3) Carsten-Patrick Meier (2) Jens Boysen-Hogrefe (2) Joachim Scheide (2) Christian Aßmann (1) Christophe Kamps (1) Felix Hammermann (1) Joachim Benner (1) Lúcio Vinhas de Souza (1) Martin Ademmer (1) Rainer Schweickert (1) Show more Date Last Month Last Year Select Period start date to end date Sort by Relevance Date Aktive Filter Content Type: Publications Publicationtype: Working Paper Units: Economic Outlook Remove all filters Working Paper The impact of forecast errors on fiscal planning and debt accumulation 23.04.2019 We investigate the impact of errors in medium run tax revenue forecasts on the final budget balance. Our analysis is based on fiscal data for the entirety of German states and takes advantage of revenue forecasts and respective errors that can be... Working Paper Reproducing business cycle features in Germany - an evaluation for the need of nonlinear models 01.06.2009 There exists a wide literature starting by Hess and Iwata (1997) on the issue whether nonlinear time series models are needed to reproduce business cycle features. Working Paper Low-Speed Recovery in Euroland 01.04.2005 The economic recovery in the euro area lost considerable momentum in 2004. After a strong increase in the first half of the year, real GDP rose at an annual rate of less than 1 percent in the following two quarters. Working Paper European Monetary Integration after EU Enlargement 01.09.2004 Expectations about additional short-run gains from joining monetary union should not be too optimistic. Most of the expected gains from a monetary union are largely endogenous to credible, time-consistent domestic policies. Working Paper Moderate Upswing in Euroland 01.04.2004 In the spring of 2004, the euro-area economy is on the road of recovery.