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29 Results

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    • Publications (28)
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    • Business Cycle (29)
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    • Economic Outlook (14)
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Economic Outlook

Euro area economy robust, but with low momentum

11.09.2019

KKB 58: The euro area economy is currently expanding at a moderate pace. The underlying momentum has slowed noticeably since early 2018, which is mainly attributable to lower external impulses and, subsequently, to an increasingly weakened industrial...

Economic Outlook

Euro area economy slows further

14.03.2019

KKB 52: The euro area economy has once again switched back a gear. The slowdown over the course of 2018 is mainly due to weaker impulses from the international environment and, to a lesser extent, to country-specific temporary factors.

Economic Outlook

Euroframe report 2019: Economic assessment of the euro area

31.01.2019

The report presents an assessment of the economic outlook for 2019 and 2020 based on a synopsis of the forecasts of Euroframe institutes and focused on the euro area.

Media Information

Kiel Institute Economic Outlook: Final Stages of the Upswing are Looming

06.09.2018

The economic researchers at the Kiel Institute have revised their forecast for the GDP growth rate for the current and coming year slightly downwards. They now expect growth of 1.9 percent for 2018 and 2.0 percent for 2019. This means that the boom...

Economic Outlook

Euro Area economy loses steam

05.09.2018

KKB 46: The Euro area economy has lost momentum in the first half of 2018. The slowdown was due to country-specific temporary factors and a weakness of world trade since the beginning of the year.

Economic Outlook

Euroframe report 2018: Economic assessment of the euro area

10.02.2018

The report presents an assessment of the economic outlook for 2019 and 2020 based on a synopsis of the forecasts of Euroframe institutes and focused on the euro area.

Policy Article

TARGET (im-)balances at record level: Should we worry?

01.11.2017

We take stock of the current evidence on fragmentation in financial markets in the  euro area and discuss policy options to facilitate further inte

Policy Article

The corporate sector purchase programme (CSPP): Challenges and future prospects

01.09.2017

We take stock of the current evidence on fragmentation in financial markets in the  euro area and discuss policy options to facilitate further inte

Policy Article

Financial innovation and monetary policy: Challenges and prospects

01.05.2017

We take stock of the current evidence on fragmentation in financial markets in the  euro area and discuss policy options to facilitate further inte

Journal Article

Spillover Effects from Euro Area Monetary Policy across Europe: A Factor-Augmented VAR Approach

01.04.2017

I analyze spillover effects from a Euro area monetary policy shock to fourteen European countries outside the Euro area. The analysis is based on a factor-augmented VAR model with two blocks, which exploits a large cross-country data set. After a...

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