In the long term, the Russian economy would be much more severely affected by a decoupling of its trade relations from the US and its partners than those of the allies. According to a simulation, Russia's economic output would be almost ten percent...

KKB 87: The war in Ukraine is weighing on the global economy at a time when inflation has already risen sharply and the US Federal Reserve has embarked on a tightening cycle

German companies are increasingly investing abroad in China. This is particularly true in the manufacturing sector, such as the automotive industry. US companies, on the other hand, are largely staying away from the country. ”German companies are on...

Kiel Policy Brief No. 162: The author shows that the US as the world’s largest investor abroad so far shuns the most dynamic host region East Asia including China and instead continues to focus on investment in Europe.

Despite ongoing congestions in container shipping, global trade is up in January compared with the previous month and has now even surpassed its pre-crisis level (price and seasonally adjusted). This follows from the latest data update of the Kiel...

In contrast to the first major wave of the pandemic, world trade has so far not shown any negative swings in the face of the Omicron variant rampant in many countries. Following the latest data update, the Kiel Trade Indicator signals a slight...

In its latest data update for November 2021, the Kiel Trade Indicator signals fairly positive trade figures overall (month-to-month, price and seasonally adjusted). However, the upward movement threatens to be short-lived: China is sheering out with...