The war in Ukraine is putting a noticeable strain on the German economy and increases the already strong inflationary pressure. However, the recovery is not breaking off. In its latest spring forecast, the Kiel Institute almost halves its forecast...

Sovereign defaults on Chinese debts are frequent but, due to the opacity of China's lending, data on these defaults is scarce. A new study involving the Kiel Institute shows that restructurings with Chinese lenders now surpass the number of...

Supply bottlenecks and the fourth Covid-19 wave are weighing on Germany's recovery, delaying the catching-up process by several months. The Kiel Institute for the World Economy now expects gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by 2.6 percent this...

The Corona pandemic still shapes the economic situation in Germany. A complete normalisation of contact-intensive activities is not to be ex¬pected in the short term. In addition, supply bottlenecks are ham-pering manufacturing for the time being....

In their spring report, the leading economic research institutes forecast an increase in gross domestic product of 3.7 percent in the current year and 3.9 percent in 2022. The renewed shutdown is delaying the economic recovery, but as soon as the...

Despite the ongoing lockdown and rising infection figures, the Kiel Institute is more optimistic about economic performance in Germany than it was in its previous forecast in winter. The reason is the upward trend in industrial activity due to...

China's lending to other countries is significantly larger than previously known and reported in official statistics. As of 2017, the world owed more than five trillion USD to the government of China, or around six percent of global economic output....