The war in Ukraine is putting a noticeable strain on the German economy and increases the already strong inflationary pressure. However, the recovery is not breaking off. In its latest spring forecast, the Kiel Institute almost halves its forecast...

Despite ongoing congestions in container shipping, global trade is up in January compared with the previous month and has now even surpassed its pre-crisis level (price and seasonally adjusted). This follows from the latest data update of the Kiel...

In contrast to the first major wave of the pandemic, world trade has so far not shown any negative swings in the face of the Omicron variant rampant in many countries. Following the latest data update, the Kiel Trade Indicator signals a slight...

Supply bottlenecks and the fourth Covid-19 wave are weighing on Germany's recovery, delaying the catching-up process by several months. The Kiel Institute for the World Economy now expects gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by 2.6 percent this...

In its latest data update for November 2021, the Kiel Trade Indicator signals fairly positive trade figures overall (month-to-month, price and seasonally adjusted). However, the upward movement threatens to be short-lived: China is sheering out with...

World trade remains short on its growth potential, but there are increasing positive indications. The Kiel Trade Indicator currently shows some slightly positive values. Congestion at major seaports is reducing somewhat, but the situation there...

Kiel Trade Indicator, data update 20.10.2021: Global trade remains under the spell of serious container congestion and there are no signs of easing. Around 9 percent of global freight capacity is now tied up in four major queues, more than half of...

The Corona pandemic still shapes the economic situation in Germany. A complete normalisation of contact-intensive activities is not to be ex¬pected in the short term. In addition, supply bottlenecks are ham-pering manufacturing for the time being....

The indicator for business expectations summarizes survey-based data on business expectations from 41 German export markets, weighted by the respective countries’ shares in German exports.