In their spring report, the leading economic research institutes forecast an increase in gross domestic product of 3.7 percent in the current year and 3.9 percent in 2022. The renewed shutdown is delaying the economic recovery, but as soon as the...

KKB 75: The global economy continued to recover in the winter semester, despite the number of new infections with the coronavirus rising sharply and containment measures tightened again in many countries.

Despite the ongoing lockdown and rising infection figures, the Kiel Institute is more optimistic about economic performance in Germany than it was in its previous forecast in winter. The reason is the upward trend in industrial activity due to...

In the third quarter of 2020, the global economy rebounded strongly from the steep fall in output suffered in the first half of the year amid the covid-19 pandemic.

The second wave of the Corona pandemic deals a noticeable blow at Germany’s economy, but does not overturn it. The recovery is interrupted for six months, but then comes back strongly. The Kiel Institute lowers its forecast for gross domestic...

KKB 69: The world economy contracted by close to 10 percent in the first half of 2020 as the COVID-10 pandemic unfolded.  After a 3 percent drop in activity in the first quarter, global output contacted by some 7 percent as governments around the...

The corona pandemic leaves substantial marks in the German economy and its impact is more persistent than assumed in spring. In their autumn report, the leading German economic research institutes have revised their economic outlook downwards by...

Kiel Policy Brief Special Corona-Update 3: Over the past months, the Covid-19 pandemic has progressively affected economic activity globally, including in Germany.

KKB 63: In early 2020 the world economy is severely affected by the consequences of a novel coronavirus and the measures implemented to arrest its spreading. With the progressive diffusion around the globe, action designed to contain the disease are...

KKB 61: World output growth has slowed further in the course of 2019. However, most recently signs of stabilization appeared, especially in emerging economies where expectations seem to have started to improve.