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    • Publications (4)
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    • Working Paper (2)
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    • Macroeconomic Research (4)
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  1. Publication

    Noise and Bias in Eliciting Preferences

    01.01.2007

    In the context of eliciting preferences for decision making under risk, we ask the question: “which might be the ‘best’ method for eliciting such preferences?”. It is well known that different methods differ in terms of the bias in the elicitation;...

  2. Publication

    The Impact of Seasonal and Price Adjustments on the Predictability of German GDP Revisions

    01.01.2012

    Releases of the GDP are subject to revisions over time. This paper examines the predictability of German GDP revisions using forecast rationality tests. Previous studies of German GDP covering data until 1997 finds that revisions of real seasonally...

  3. Publication

    Noise and Bias in Eliciting Preferences

    01.12.2009

    In the context of eliciting preferences for decision making under risk, we ask the question: “which might be the ‘best’ method for eliciting such preferences?”. It is well known that different methods differ in terms of the bias in the elicitation;...

  4. Publication

    A Model for Real-time Data Assessment and Forecasting

    01.01.2005

    In this paper we propose a model that describes the regularities of the revision process for real-time macroeconomic data. This model takes the typical publication process of statistical agencies into account: after an initial release, revisions are...

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