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  • Tags: cointegration
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  1. Publication

    Productivity Shocks and Real Effective Exchange Rates

    01.08.2015

    This paper provides new insights into the relationship between exchange rates and productivity developments for European Economies. We focus on the question whether productivity changes have a long-run impact on real effective exchange rates for a...

  2. Publication

    Valuation effects and long-run real exchange rate dynamics

    01.03.2015

    This paper uses the Johansen test for cointegration to check the prediction of a portfolio balance model that predictable valuation effects are associated with a saddle-path dynamic relationship between the net foreign asset position and the real...

  3. Publication

    The effect of foreign aid on income inequality: Evidence from panel cointegration

    01.01.2012

    This paper examines the long-run effect of foreign aid on income inequality for 21 recipient countries using panel cointegration techniques to control for omitted variable and endogeneity bias. We find that aid exerts an inequality increasing effect...

  4. Publication

    Stock Market Downswing and the Stability of European Monetary Union Money Demand

    01.01.2006

    This article analyzes the question whether money demand in the euro area underwent a structural change in the end of 2001 when M3 money growth started to considerably overshoot the reference value set by the European Central Bank. It is found that...

  5. Publication

    Inflationäre Schocks in Deutschland: Eine Common Trends Analyse

    01.01.2004

    In diesem Beitrag wird die Inflationsrate in Deutschland mit Hilfe eines Common Trends Modells untersucht. Ausgehend von einem IS-LM Modell der offenen Volkswirtschaft wird zunächst eine Kointegrationsanalyse durchgeführt, die der Bestimmung...

  6. Publication

    Granger Non-causality Tests between (Non)Renewable Energy Consumption and Output in Italy since 1861: The (Ir)Relevance of Structural Breaks

    01.06.2012

    The present paper considers an Italian dataset with an annual frequency from 1861 to 2000. It implements Granger non-causality tests between energy consumption and output contrasting methods allowing for structural change with those imposing...

  7. Publication

    Granger Non-causality Tests between (Non)Renewable Energy Consumption and Output in Italy since 1861: The (Ir)Relevance of Structural Breaks

    01.12.2010

    The present paper considers an Italian dataset with an annual frequency from 1861 to 2000. It implements Granger non-causality tests between energy consumption and output contrasting methods allowing for structural change with those imposing...

  8. Publication

    Forecasting Inflation from the Term Structure

    01.01.2003

    In this paper we analyze the forecasting ability of the term structure with respect to future inflation in Germany. In contrast to previous studies, we find evidence in favor of a nonstationary term premium. Assuming that the nonstationary part of...

  9. Publication

    Economic Reforms, FDI, and Economic Growth in India: A Sector Level Analysis

    01.01.2008

    Booming FDI in post-reform India is widely believed to promote economic growth. We assess this proposition by subjecting industry-specific FDI and output data to Granger causality tests within a panel cointegration framework. It turns out that the...

  10. Publication

    Price Incentives, Non-Price Factors, and Agricultural Production in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Cointegration Analysis

    01.07.2002

    This paper deals with the question of how responsive farmers in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are to changes in incentives. Employing Johansen's multivariate cointegration approach, it investigates for ten selected SSA countries the long-run effect of...

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