Working Paper
Superstar Returns: Spatial Heterogeneity in Returns to Housing
This paper makes the first comprehensive attempt to study within-country heterogeneity
of housing returns. We introduce a new city-level data set covering 15 OECD countries
over 150 years and show that national housing markets are characterized by systematic
spatial variation in housing returns. Total returns in large agglomerations are close to 100
basis points lower per year than in other parts of the same country. The excess returns
outside the large cities can be rationalized as a compensation for higher risk, especially
higher co-variance with income growth and lower liquidity. Real estate in diversified large
agglomerations is comparatively safe.
Key Words
- housing markets
- household portfolios
- asset returns