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46 Results

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  • Topics

    • Business Cycle (10)
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    • Working Paper (46)
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    • Macroeconomic Policies over the Business Cycle (46)
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Working Paper

Endogenous Growth, Skill Obsolescence and Output Hysteresis in a New Keynesian Model with Unemployment

Kiel Working Papers
08/2020
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Wolfgang Lechthaler, Mewael F. Tesfaselassie

We embed human capital-based endogenous growth into a New-Keynesian model with search and matching frictions in the labor market and...

Working Paper

Homogenous vs. Heterogenous Transition Functions in Smooth Transition Regressions – A LM-Type Test

Kiel Working Papers
11/2017
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Matei Demetrescu, Stefan Reitz, Julian S. Leppin

(Panel) Smooth Transition Regressions substantially gained in popularity due to their flexibility in modeling regression coefficients...

Working Paper

Estimating the effects of the "flight to quality", with an application to German bond yields and interest payments during the Euro crisis

Kiel Working Papers
07/2017
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Claire Boeing-Reicher, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe

Recent calculations have suggested that the German federal government has saved roughly EUR 90-100 billion, cumulatively, due to low...

Working Paper

The Effects of the Supply of Credit on Real Estate Prices: Venezuela as a Policy Laboratory

Kiel Working Papers
11/2016
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Claire Boeing-Reicher, David Pinto

We identify the effects of the supply of mortgage credit on house prices, using the politicallydirected credit-targeting regime of...

Working Paper

Ben Bernanke in Doha: The Effect of Monetary Policy on Optimal Tariffs

Kiel Working Papers
11/2016
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Wolfgang Lechthaler

Working Paper

Protectionism in a liquidity trap

Kiel Working Papers
06/2016
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Wolfgang Lechthaler

This paper studies the effects of protectionism as a business cycle instrument. In normal times, protectionism reduces international...

Working Paper

Anomalous empirical evidence on money long-run super-neutrality and the vertical long-run Phillips curve

Kiel Working Papers
04/2016
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Andrea Vaona

Money long-run super-neutrality and the vertical long-run Phillips curve are two widely shared beliefs in the economics profession and...

Working Paper

The Impact of Disembodied Technological Progress on Working Hours

Kiel Working Papers
02/2016
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Mewael Tesfaselassie

The paper analyzes the effects of disembodied technological progress on steady state hours worked in the workhorse New-Keynesian...

Working Paper

An empirical evaluation of macroeconomic surveillance in the European Union

Kiel Working Papers
12/2015
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Martin Plödt, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Nils Jannsen ...

The macroeconomic surveillance mechanism of the European Union, namely the Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure (MIP), is based on the...

Working Paper

Monetary Policy during Financial Crises: Is the Transmission Mechanism Impaired?

Kiel Working Papers
08/2015
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Nils Jannsen, Maik Wolters, Galina Potjagailo

We study the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy during financial crises using a Bayesian panel vector autoregressive (PVAR)...

Working Paper

Trend Growth, Unemployment and Optimal Monetary Policy

Kiel Working Papers
07/2015
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Wolfgang Lechthaler, Mewael Tesfaselassie

We analyze the implications of changes in the trend growth rate for optimal monetary policy in the presence of search and matching...

Working Paper

The Dynamics of Business Investment Following Banking Crises and Normal Recessions

Kiel Working Papers
04/2015
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Nils Jannsen

I empirically analyze the dynamics of business investment following normal recessions (declines in business investment that are not...

Working Paper

Layoff Taxes, Unemployment Insurance, and Business Cycle Fluctuations

Kiel Working Papers
01/2015
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Steffen Ahrens, Nooshin Nejati, Philipp L. Pfeiffer

This paper studies the role of labor market institutions in business cycle fluctuations. We develop a DSGE model with search and...

Working Paper

Fiscal targeting rules and economic stability under distortionary taxation

Kiel Working Papers
10/2014
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Claire Boeing-Reicher

While European countries have engaged in a debate about fiscal policy rules, little is known about the ability of these rules to...

Working Paper

The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation in Dynamic General Equilibrium

Kiel Working Papers
09/2014
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Maik Wolters

We provide a systematic analysis of the transmission of fiscal consolidation via various instruments in a medium-scale dynamic general...

Working Paper

Determinanten kommunaler Verschuldung und die Rolle der Länder

Kiel Working Papers
09/2014
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Jens Boysen-Hogrefe

In einer Regressionsanalyse werden mögliche Determinanten kommunaler Verschuldung untersucht. Von erheblicher Bedeutung sind die...

Working Paper

The aggregate effects of long run sectoral reallocation

Kiel Working Papers
05/2014
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Claire Boeing-Reicher

The construction bust which accompanied the Great Recession, and the accompanying need to shift workers across sectors, have provoked...

Working Paper

Bayesian Analysis of Dynamic Factor Models: An Ex-Post Approach towards the Rotation Problem

Kiel Working Papers
02/2014
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Christian Aßmann, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Markus Pape

Due to their indeterminacies, static and dynamic factor models require identifying assumptions to guarantee uniqueness of the...

Working Paper

Monetary aggregates to improve early output gap estimates in the euro area - an empirical assessment

Kiel Working Papers
02/2014
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Jens Boysen-Hogrefe

Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used...

Working Paper

Estimating simple fiscal policy reaction functions for the euro area countries

Kiel Working Papers
01/2014
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Martin Plödt, Claire Boeing-Reicher

We formulate and estimate a simple fiscal policy reaction function for the euro area and individual euro area countries. Our reaction...

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