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46 Results

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  • Topics

    • Business Cycle Germany (46)
    • Fiscal Policy & National Budgets (38)
    • Labor Market (38)
    • Business Cycle (26)
    • Germany (17)
    • Growth (7)
    • Economic & Financial Crises (6)
    • Business Cycle Euro Area (3)
    • Business Cycle World (2)
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    • Economic Outlook (42)
    • Policy Article (3)
    • Journal Article (1)
  • Research

    • Business Cycles and Growth (46)
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    • Macroeconomic Research (4)
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    • Forecasting and Business Cycle Analysis (1)
    • Macroeconomic Policies over the Business Cycle (1)
    • Special Topics (1)
  • Experts

    • Stefan Kooths (42)
    • Nils Jannsen (34)
    • Dominik Groll (32)
    • Jens Boysen-Hogrefe (31)
    • Salomon Fiedler (26)
    • Martin Ademmer (25)
    • Galina Potjagailo (18)
    • Saskia Meuchelböck (15)
    • Oliver Holtemöller (9)
    • Timo Wollmershäuser (9)
    • Claus Michelsen (6)
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    • Almira Enders (1)
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  • Publication Series

    • Kiel Institute Economic Outlook (31)
    • Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany (31)
    • Joint Economic Forecast (11)
    • Kiel Policy Brief (1)
    • Konjunkturschlaglicht des Wirtschaftsdiensts (1)
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  • Topics: Business Cycle Germany
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  1. Economic Outlook

    Joint Economic Forecast 2/21: Crisis is gradually being overcome – align actions to lower growth

    Joint Economic Forecast
    10/2021
    Download
    Prof. Dr. Oliver Holtemöller, Prof. Dr. Martin Gornig, Prof. Dr. Torsten Schmidt ...

    The Corona pandemic still shapes the economic situation in Germany. A complete normalisation of contact-intensive activities is not to be...

  2. Policy Article

    Rising Inflation – Transitory or Cause for Concern?

    Monetary Dialogue Papers
    09/2021
    Joscha Beckmann, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Philipp Hauber ...

    Consumer price inflation in the euro area has sharply risen to 3% in the course of 2021. This increase was mainly due to higher energy prices...

  3. Economic Outlook

    Joint Economic Forecast 1/21: Pandemic delays upswing – Demography slows growth

    Joint Economic Forecast
    04/2021
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    Torsten Schmidt, Oliver Holtemöller, Stefan Kooths ...

    In their spring report, the leading economic research institutes forecast an increase in gross domestic product of 3.7 percent in the current...

  4. Economic Outlook

    Joint Economic Forecast 2/20: Recovery Loses Momentum - Economy and Politics Still Shaped by the Pandemic

    Joint Economic Forecast
    10/2020
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    Oliver Holtemöller, Stefan Kooths, Claus Michelsen ...

    The corona pandemic leaves substantial marks in the German economy and its impact is more persistent than assumed in spring.

    ...
  5. Economic Outlook

    Joint Economic Forecast 1/20: Economy in Shock – Fiscal Policy to Counteract

    Joint Economic Forecast
    04/2020
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    Oliver Holtemöller, Stefan Kooths, Claus Michelsen ...

    The coronavirus pandemic is triggering a severe recession in Germany. Economic output will shrink by 4.2 percent this year.

    ...
  6. Journal Article

    Parity Funding of Health Care Contributions in Germany: A DSGE Perspective

    German Economic Review
    06/2020
    Almira Enders, Dominik Groll, Nikolai Stähler

    Germany will reintroduce parity funding of the statutory health insurance scheme in 2019 by lowering the contribution rates for employees and...

  7. Policy Article

    Zur Bedeutung der Automobilindustrie für die deutsche Wirtschaft

    Wirtschaftsdienst
    07/2019
    Nils Jannsen

    Volkswirtschaften spezialisieren sich typischerweise entlang ihrer komparativen Vorteile auf die Produktion bestimmter Güter. Dadurch können...

  8. Economic Outlook

    German economy: Expansion rate remains high

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    06/2015
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 8: The German economy remains on a robust growth track. For the current year we expect GDP to increase by 1.8 percent. Next year, the rate...

  9. Economic Outlook

    German Economy Gains Momentum

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    12/2014
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Dominik Groll, Nils Jannsen ...

    The German economy is regaining momentum. GDP is forecast to increase by 1.7 percent in 2015 and 1.9 percent in 2016. Initially, the...

  10. Economic Outlook

    The German economy is regaining momentum

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    12/2015
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 14: German GDP is expected to increase by 1.8 percent (2015), 2.2 percent (2016), and 2.3 percent (2017). With capacity utilization...

  11. Economic Outlook

    German economy closer to its limit

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    03/2018
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 41: The air for the economic upswing in Germany is getting thinner. We expect German GDP to grow by 2.5 percent this year and by 2.3...

  12. Economic Outlook

    German economy at full steam

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    12/2017
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 38: The German economy is running at full steam. Economic activity has further accelerated in the current year and leading indicators...

  13. Economic Outlook

    German economy cools down

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    03/2019
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 53: The German economy has shifted down a gear. After still very high economic momentum in Germany until the middle of last year,...

  14. Economic Outlook

    Joint Economic Forecast, Fall 2016: German economy on track – economic policy needs to be realigned

    Joint Economic Forecast
    09/2016
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    Ferdinand Fichtner, Timo Wollmershäuser, Stefan Kooths ...

    The German economy is experiencing a moderate recovery: the GDP is expected to grow by 1.9 percent this year, 1.4 percent next year, and 1.6...

  15. Economic Outlook

    German economy heating up

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    06/2017
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 32: The momentum of the expansion of the German economy is strong. Unchanged from our winter and spring forecasts, we expect a rise in...

  16. Policy Article

    Deutsche Industrieproduktion schwächer

    Konjunkturschlaglicht des Wirtschaftsdiensts
    11/2019
    Nils Jannsen

    Die deutsche Wirtschaft befindet sich seit Beginn des Jahres 2018 im Abschwung, wobei die konjunkturelle Dynamik vor allem durch das...

  17. Economic Outlook

    Joint Economic Forecast 2/19:

    Joint Economic Forecast
    10/2019
    Download
    Oliver Holtemöller, Stefan Kooths, Claus Michelsen ...

  18. Economic Outlook

    Uncertainty weighs on growth only temporarily

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    03/2016
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 17: The German economy remains robust in a difficult international climate. In the current year, we expect GDP to increase by 2 per cent....

  19. Economic Outlook

    Expansion remains on track

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    06/2016
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 20: The economic upswing in Germany is set to con­tinue. GDP is likely to grow 1.9 percent this year and 2.1 percent next year. Strong...

  20. Economic Outlook

    Expansion is set to broaden

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    03/2017
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 29: The expansion in Germany continues. We leave our forecast as of December 2016 unchanged and expect GDP to grow by 1.7 percent in 2017...

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