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53 Results

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  • Topics

    • Business Cycle Euro Area (53)
    • Business Cycle (46)
    • European Union & Euro (42)
    • Monetary Policy (24)
    • Europe (12)
    • Financial Markets (5)
    • Business Cycle Germany (3)
    • Business Cycle World (3)
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    • Economic Outlook (23)
    • Policy Article (15)
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    • Brief (3)
  • Research

    • Business Cycles and Growth (47)
    • Forecasting (29)
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    • Forecasting and Business Cycle Analysis (7)
    • Macroeconomic Policies over the Business Cycle (4)
    • Special Topics (1)
  • Experts

    • Klaus-Jürgen Gern (19)
    • Salomon Fiedler (19)
    • Ulrich Stolzenburg (19)
    • Stefan Kooths (18)
    • Jens Boysen-Hogrefe (16)
    • Dominik Groll (15)
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    • Claire Boeing-Reicher (4)
    • Stefan Reitz (4)
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    • Philipp Hauber (3)
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    • Saskia Meuchelböck (1)
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  • Publication Series

    • Kiel Institute Economic Outlook (12)
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    • Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Euro Area (11)
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    • Konjunkturschlaglicht des Wirtschaftsdiensts (1)
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  • Topics: Business Cycle Euro Area
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  1. Economic Outlook

    Euro Area Economy Spring 2022: War in Ukraine impairs post-pandemic recovery

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Euro Area
    03/2022
    Download
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Dominik Groll, Stefan Kooths ...

    KKB 88: Economic output in the euro area has recently returned to its pre-pandemic level. The surge in infections since early 2022 had only...

  2. Policy Article

    Inflation expectations: quo vadis?

    Monetary Dialogue Papers
    01/2022
    Joscha Beckmann, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Nils Jannsen ...

    Against the backdrop of the recent surge in inflation, we discuss available measures of inflation expectations and implications for monetary...

  3. Policy Article

    Rising Inflation – Transitory or Cause for Concern?

    Monetary Dialogue Papers
    09/2021
    Joscha Beckmann, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Philipp Hauber ...

    Consumer price inflation in the euro area has sharply risen to 3% in the course of 2021. This increase was mainly due to higher energy prices...

  4. Economic Outlook

    Euro Area Autumn 2021: Recovery temporarily at slower pace

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Euro Area
    09/2021
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    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Dominik Groll, Stefan Kooths ...

    KKB 82: The euro area economy is rapidly approaching its pre-crisis production level. After a strong increase in the second quarter, economic...

  5. Economic Outlook

    Economic Assessment of the Euro Area: Winter 2020/2021

    Euroframe Forecast
    02/2021
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    Klaus-Jürgen Gern

    Against the backdrop of European economies being in partial lockdown again due to the Covid-19 pandemic, this report presents an assessment of...

  6. Journal Article

    Monetary Policy as an Optimum Currency Area Criterion

    International Journal of Central Banking
    12/2020
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    Dominik Groll

    The costs and benfits of moving from a flexible exchange rate regime to a monetary union depend critically on the conduct of monetary policy....

  7. Policy Article

    TARGET (im-)balances at record level: Should we worry?

    11/2017
    Salomon Fiedler, Stefan Kooths, Ulrich Stolzenburg

    We take stock of the current evidence on fragmentation in financial markets in the  euro area and discuss policy options to facilitate...

  8. Brief

    Protection against protectionists: How FDI positions may mitigate transatlantic trade conflicts

    Kiel Insight
    03/2017
    Download
    Stefan Kooths, Galina Potjagailo

    The mercantilist attitude of the new U.S. presidency raises the fear of the United States turning towards a protectionist stance in trade...

  9. Economic Outlook

    Euro area economy slows further

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Euro Area
    03/2019
    Download
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 52: The euro area economy has once again switched back a gear. The slowdown over the course of 2018 is mainly due to weaker impulses from...

  10. Economic Outlook

    Euro Area: Moderate Recovery proceeds

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Euro Area
    09/2015
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 10: Economic activity in the Euro Area is gradually gaining grip in 2015. Sentiment indicators suggest that the current - rather moderate...

  11. Economic Outlook

    Euro Area economy loses steam

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Euro Area
    09/2018
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 46: The Euro area economy has lost momentum in the first half of 2018. The slowdown was due to country-specific temporary factors and a...

  12. Policy Article

    Extending QE: Additional risks for financial stability?

    01/2017
    Salomon Fiedler, Stefan Kooths, Ulrich Stolzenburg

  13. Economic Outlook

    Euroframe report 2013: Economic assessment of the euro area

    Euroframe Forecast
    01/2013
    Download
    Klaus-Jürgen Gern

    As a result of relatively weak external demand, continuing financial uncertainty and the contractionary stance of fiscal policy, output fell...

  14. Economic Outlook

    Euroframe report 2010: Economic assessment of the euro area

    Euroframe Forecast
    11/2010
    Download
    Klaus-Jürgen Gern

    The recovery in the world economy from the deepest recession since the 1930s strengthened during the first half of 2010, aided by strong...

  15. Economic Outlook

    Euroframe report 2015: Economic assessment of the euro area

    Euroframe Forecast
    01/2015
    Download
    Klaus-Jürgen Gern

    Since EUROFRAME published its economic assessment of the Euro Area last year (EUROFRAME 2014), conditions have disimproved somewhat. Our...

  16. Economic Outlook

    Euroframe report 2014: Economic assessment of the euro area

    Euroframe Forecast
    01/2014
    Download
    Klaus-Jürgen Gern

    Since EUROFRAME published its economic assessment of the Euro Area last year (EUROFRAME, 2013) relatively little has changed. Our forecast for...

  17. Economic Outlook

    Euroframe report 2016: Economic assessment of the euro area

    Euroframe Forecast
    01/2016
    Download
    Klaus-Jürgen Gern

    The Euro Area economy performance in 2015 was in line with expectations in our previous ‘Economic Assessment of the euro area’ from last...

  18. Economic Outlook

    Euroframe report 2012: Economic assessment of the euro area

    Euroframe Forecast
    01/2012
    Download
    Klaus-Jürgen Gern

    This report is rather different from previous EUROFRAME forecasts produced over the last decade. On this occasion the major uncertainty in the...

  19. Journal Article

    Spillover Effects from Euro Area Monetary Policy across Europe: A Factor-Augmented VAR Approach

    Journal of International Money and Finance
    04/2017
    Galina Potjagailo

    I analyze spillover effects from a Euro area monetary policy shock to fourteen European countries outside the Euro area. The analysis is based...

  20. Journal Article

    Monetary aggregates to improve early output gap estimates in the euro area - an empirical assessment

    Journal of Forecasting
    10/2015
    Download
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe

    Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to...

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