In their spring report, the leading economic research institutes forecast an increase in gross domestic product of 3.7 percent in the...

KKB 76: One year after the start of the pandemic, lockdown measures and behavioural changes still weigh on economic activity in the...

Against the backdrop of European economies being in partial lockdown again due to the Covid-19 pandemic, this report presents an...

Kiel Policy Brief No. 139: In cooperation with the World Free Zones Organization, the IfW Kiel has conducted a survey among special...

The recovery of the German economy is interrupted. The main reasons are the second Covid wave and the shutdown measures that have been...

Trump has failed with his campaign promises to achieve complete revitalization of the US manufacturing industry. His economic policy...

We propose a simple modification of Hamilton’s (2018) time series filter that yields reliable and economically meaningful real-time...

We take stock of the current evidence on fragmentation in financial markets in the  euro area and discuss policy options to...

Kiel Policy Brief Special Corona-Update 3: Over the past months, the Covid-19 pandemic has progressively affected economic activity...

The coronavirus pandemic is triggering a severe recession in Germany. Economic output will shrink by 4.2 percent this year. ...

KKB 64: The spread of the corona virus poses major challenges for the euro area economy. Sentiment indicators for February still point...

The effects of monetary policy during financial crises differ substantially from those in normal times. Using a panel VAR for 20...

This paper analyzes Germany’s unusual labor market experience during the Great Recession. We estimate a general equilibrium model with...

We analyze the implications of trend growth for optimal monetary policy in the presence of search and matching unemployment. We show...

KKB 58: The euro area economy is currently expanding at a moderate pace. The underlying momentum has slowed noticeably since early...

KKB 14: German GDP is expected to increase by 1.8 percent (2015), 2.2 percent (2016), and 2.3 percent (2017). With capacity...

KKB 17: The German economy remains robust in a difficult international climate. In the current year, we expect GDP to increase by 2...

KKB 20: The economic upswing in Germany is set to con­tinue. GDP is likely to grow 1.9 percent this year and 2.1 percent next year....

KKB 16: Economic Recovery in the Euro Area has lost momentum in the second half of 2015. Due to dampening effects from the world...