The macroeconomic surveillance mechanism of the European Union, namely the Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure (MIP), is based on the...

I study the performance of single predictor bridge equation models as well as a wide range of model selection and pooling techniques,...

Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik No. 7: The European Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure aims to identify macroeconomic risks at...

Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik No. 5: The report addresses potential effects on the German economy by the extremely...

Die weltwirtschaftliche Expansion ist im Verlauf des Jahres 2014 erneut ins Stocken geraten. Von einem Aufschwung, der von allen...

This paper uses an extended version of “FiMod – A DSGE Model for Fiscal Policy Simulations” (Stähler and Thomas, 2011) with endogenous...

This paper uses an extended version of “FiMod – A DSGE Model for Fiscal Policy Simulations” (Stähler and Thomas, 2011) with endogenous...

German economy is regaining momentum driven by private consumption – German GDP is expected to increase by 1.8 percent (2015) and 2.0...