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94 Results

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  • Topics

    • Business Cycle (35)
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    • Economic Outlook (38)
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  • Experts

    • Nils Jannsen (94)
    • Stefan Kooths (52)
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  • Experts: Nils Jannsen
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  1. Policy Article

    Inflation expectations: quo vadis?

    Monetary Dialogue Papers
    01/2022
    Joscha Beckmann, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Nils Jannsen ...

    Against the backdrop of the recent surge in inflation, we discuss available measures of inflation expectations and implications for monetary...

  2. Policy Article

    The role of asset prices and interest rates for the resilience of German public finances – a scenario analysis

    Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik
    06/2021
    Download
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Klaus-Jürgen Gern ...

    KBW 36: The extremely low interest environment during the 2010s has significantly facilitated the reduction of the gross government...

  3. Policy Article

    Rising Inflation – Transitory or Cause for Concern?

    Monetary Dialogue Papers
    09/2021
    Joscha Beckmann, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Philipp Hauber ...

    Consumer price inflation in the euro area has sharply risen to 3% in the course of 2021. This increase was mainly due to higher energy prices...

  4. Policy Article

    Should They Stay or Should They Go? Negative Interest Rate Policies Under Review

    Monetary Dialogue Papers
    06/2021
    Joscha Beckmann, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Nils Jannsen

    Negative interest rate policies (NIRP) have become an established monetary policy instrument in the toolkit of the ECB. We discuss NIRP in the...

  5. Policy Article

    An economic recovery with little signs of inflation acceleration: Transitory phenomenon or evidence of a structural change?

    In-Depth Analysis prepared for the Monetary Dialogue of the European Parliament
    02/2018
    Salomon Fiedler, Nils Jannsen, Ulrich Stolzenburg

    Inflation has been persistently below the inflation target of the ECB despite the ongoing economic recovery in the euro area. In this paper,...

  6. Policy Article

    Estimating potential output and the output gap – An analysis of the EU approach and suggestions for improvement (in German)

    Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik
    02/2019
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    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Kai Carstensen ...

    KBW 19: Measures of potential output and the output gap are of great importance for policy-makers who need to assess the cyclical position of...

  7. Policy Article

    Zur Bedeutung der Automobilindustrie für die deutsche Wirtschaft

    Wirtschaftsdienst
    07/2019
    Nils Jannsen

    Volkswirtschaften spezialisieren sich typischerweise entlang ihrer komparativen Vorteile auf die Produktion bestimmter Güter. Dadurch können...

  8. Economic Outlook

    German economy: Expansion rate remains high

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    06/2015
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 8: The German economy remains on a robust growth track. For the current year we expect GDP to increase by 1.8 percent. Next year, the rate...

  9. Economic Outlook

    German Economy Gains Momentum

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    12/2014
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Dominik Groll, Nils Jannsen ...

    The German economy is regaining momentum. GDP is forecast to increase by 1.7 percent in 2015 and 1.9 percent in 2016. Initially, the...

  10. Economic Outlook

    The German economy is regaining momentum

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    12/2015
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 14: German GDP is expected to increase by 1.8 percent (2015), 2.2 percent (2016), and 2.3 percent (2017). With capacity utilization...

  11. Economic Outlook

    Gradually Better Outlook for Global Growth

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook World
    12/2014
    Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Nils Jannsen, Stefan Kooths ...

    KKB 1: Die weltwirtschaftliche Expansion ist im Verlauf des Jahres 2014 erneut ins Stocken geraten. Von einem Aufschwung, der von allen...

  12. Economic Outlook

    Euro Area: Moderate Recovery proceeds

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Euro Area
    09/2015
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 10: Economic activity in the Euro Area is gradually gaining grip in 2015. Sentiment indicators suggest that the current - rather moderate...

  13. Economic Outlook

    German economy closer to its limit

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    03/2018
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 41: The air for the economic upswing in Germany is getting thinner. We expect German GDP to grow by 2.5 percent this year and by 2.3...

  14. Economic Outlook

    German economy at full steam

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    12/2017
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 38: The German economy is running at full steam. Economic activity has further accelerated in the current year and leading indicators...

  15. Economic Outlook

    German economy cools down

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    03/2019
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 53: The German economy has shifted down a gear. After still very high economic momentum in Germany until the middle of last year,...

  16. Policy Article

    Causes of growth weakness in Germany 1995–2005 (in German)

    Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik
    07/2009
    Download
    Alfred Boss, Jonas Dovern, Klaus-Jürgen Gern ...

    KBW 2: After the reunification, in Germany economic growth was weak from a historical as well as international perspective. In particular, the...

  17. Policy Article

    Business investment after the crisis and the impact of monetary policy

    In-Depth Analysis prepared for the Monetary Dialogue of the European Parliament
    06/2016
    Download
    Martin Plödt, Nils Jannsen

    Monetary policy can stimulate business investment in various ways, most directly by improving financing conditions. Despite the expansionary...

  18. Policy Article

    Is monetary policy in the US too expansive? (in German)

    Kiel Policy Brief
    04/2011
    Download
    Nils Jannsen, Joachim Scheide

    Kiel Policy Brief No. 26: The Kiel researchers Nils Jannsen and Joachim Scheide investigate, whether the extremely expansionary monetary...

  19. Economic Outlook

    German economy heating up

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    06/2017
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 32: The momentum of the expansion of the German economy is strong. Unchanged from our winter and spring forecasts, we expect a rise in...

  20. Policy Article

    Do we Face a Credit Crunch?

    Kiel Policy Brief
    12/2009
    Download
    Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Nils Jannsen

    Kiel Policy Brief No. 15: The weakness of credit growth in the United States and Europe has given rise to concerns that the financial crisis...

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