We analyze the international transmission of financial stress and its effects on global economic activity. Our analysis is based on...

KBW 8: Climate Engineering revolves around the exploration and deployment of CE technologies, both in public and in science. The...

KBW 2: After the reunification, in Germany economic growth was weak from a historical as well as international perspective. In...

Kiel Policy Brief No. 50: Achieving sustainable development and thereby sustaining the wealth of future generations is one central...

We use the concept of predictability as presented in Diebold and Kilian (2001) to assess how well the growth rates of various...

We apply a comprehensive wealth index for the 100 largest autonomous cities in Germany to measure their endowment with environmental,...

Using real-time data, we analyze how the systematic expectation errors of professional forecasters in 19 advanced economies depend on...

Regions and countries manage and sustain oceanic resources and services with varying degrees of success. Our empirical analysis...

We estimate the sticky information Phillips curve model of Mankiw and Reis (2002) using survey expectations of professional...

This paper documents parts of the Consensus Economics survey data set on professional forecasters’ expectations on macroeconomic...

We estimate the sticky information Phillips curve model of Mankiw and Reis (2002) using survey expectations of professional...

In this paper we analyze the power of various indicators to predict growth rates of aggregate production using real-time data. In...

Abstract: In this paper we analyze the power of various indicators to predict growth rates of aggregate production using real-time...

Using a newly constructed macroeconometric model for Germany and the rest of the Euro area, we investigate the macroeconomic effects...

German Scoping Survey on CE in now available in English. The Federal Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF) has an...

Macro-stress testing studies often rely on rather short sample periods due to the limited availability of banking data. ...

A couple of recent papers have shifted the focus on disagreement of professional forecasters. When dealing with survey data that...

We investigate a new survey data set from Consensus Economics containing disaggregate expert inflation forecasts for all G7-countries....

In this paper, we use survey data to analyze the rationality of professional macroeconomic forecasts. We analyze both individual...

We document that growth forecasts of professional forecasters in advanced economies exhibit systematic errors and analyze how these...