KKB 88: Economic output in the euro area has recently returned to its pre-pandemic level. The surge in infections since early 2022 had only...

We investigate the impact of errors in medium run tax revenue forecasts on the final budget balance. Our analysis is based on fiscal data for...

KBW 36: The extremely low interest environment during the 2010s has significantly facilitated the reduction of the gross government...

KKB 82: The euro area economy is rapidly approaching its pre-crisis production level. After a strong increase in the second quarter, economic...

Die wirtschaftlichen Folgen der COVID-19-Pandemie führen nach aktuellen Erwartungen zu der schwersten Rezession in der deutschen...

The recent Great Recession had very heterogeneous effects on the labor markets in industrialized countries. We analyze the role of three labor...

KBW 30: The authors note that, although public budgets showed significant surpluses before the Corona crisis, both revenues and expenditures...

Kiel Policy Brief No. 121: The author supports the hypothesis that the current positive financial position of the German health insurance is...

Kiel Policy Brief No. 112: The paper addresses the public budget surpluses in Germany against the backdrop of the coalition talks between...

KBW 25: The authors observe that larger errors in forecasting wage tax revenues are accompanied by exceptional changes in the tax code.

Kiel Policy Brief No. 141: The author notes that from the current perspective, the gross debt ratio is expected to rise to around 80 percent...

KKB 52: The euro area economy has once again switched back a gear. The slowdown over the course of 2018 is mainly due to weaker impulses from...

KBW 19: Measures of potential output and the output gap are of great importance for policy-makers who need to assess the cyclical position of...

KKB 8: The German economy remains on a robust growth track. For the current year we expect GDP to increase by 1.8 percent. Next year, the rate...

The German economy is regaining momentum. GDP is forecast to increase by 1.7 percent in 2015 and 1.9 percent in 2016. Initially, the...

KKB 14: German GDP is expected to increase by 1.8 percent (2015), 2.2 percent (2016), and 2.3 percent (2017). With capacity utilization...

KKB 10: Economic activity in the Euro Area is gradually gaining grip in 2015. Sentiment indicators suggest that the current - rather moderate...

KKB 41: The air for the economic upswing in Germany is getting thinner. We expect German GDP to grow by 2.5 percent this year and by 2.3...

KKB 38: The German economy is running at full steam. Economic activity has further accelerated in the current year and leading indicators...