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30 Results

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  • Topics

    • Business Cycle Germany (18)
    • Fiscal Policy & National Budgets (18)
    • Labor Market (18)
    • Business Cycle (17)
    • Business Cycle World (5)
    • Monetary Policy (5)
    • China (4)
    • Europe (4)
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    • Business Cycle Euro Area (3)
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    • Emerging Markets & Developing Countries (3)
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    • Economic Outlook (21)
    • Brief (3)
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    • Journal Article (2)
  • Research

    • Business Cycles and Growth (29)
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  • Experts

    • Galina Potjagailo (30)
    • Stefan Kooths (24)
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  • Publication Series

    • Kiel Institute Economic Outlook (21)
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  • Experts: Galina Potjagailo
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  1. Brief

    Protection against protectionists: How FDI positions may mitigate transatlantic trade conflicts

    Kiel Insight
    03/2017
    Download
    Stefan Kooths, Galina Potjagailo

    The mercantilist attitude of the new U.S. presidency raises the fear of the United States turning towards a protectionist stance in trade...

  2. Economic Outlook

    German economy: Expansion rate remains high

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    06/2015
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 8: The German economy remains on a robust growth track. For the current year we expect GDP to increase by 1.8 percent. Next year, the rate...

  3. Economic Outlook

    The German economy is regaining momentum

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    12/2015
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 14: German GDP is expected to increase by 1.8 percent (2015), 2.2 percent (2016), and 2.3 percent (2017). With capacity utilization...

  4. Economic Outlook

    German economy closer to its limit

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    03/2018
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 41: The air for the economic upswing in Germany is getting thinner. We expect German GDP to grow by 2.5 percent this year and by 2.3...

  5. Economic Outlook

    German economy at full steam

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    12/2017
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 38: The German economy is running at full steam. Economic activity has further accelerated in the current year and leading indicators...

  6. Economic Outlook

    German economy cools down

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    03/2019
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 53: The German economy has shifted down a gear. After still very high economic momentum in Germany until the middle of last year,...

  7. Journal Article

    Spillover Effects from Euro Area Monetary Policy across Europe: A Factor-Augmented VAR Approach

    Journal of International Money and Finance
    04/2017
    Galina Potjagailo

    I analyze spillover effects from a Euro area monetary policy shock to fourteen European countries outside the Euro area. The analysis is based...

  8. Economic Outlook

    German economy heating up

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    06/2017
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 32: The momentum of the expansion of the German economy is strong. Unchanged from our winter and spring forecasts, we expect a rise in...

  9. Economic Outlook

    Uncertainty weighs on growth only temporarily

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    03/2016
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 17: The German economy remains robust in a difficult international climate. In the current year, we expect GDP to increase by 2 per cent....

  10. Economic Outlook

    Expansion remains on track

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    06/2016
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 20: The economic upswing in Germany is set to con­tinue. GDP is likely to grow 1.9 percent this year and 2.1 percent next year. Strong...

  11. Economic Outlook

    Expansion is set to broaden

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    03/2017
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 29: The expansion in Germany continues. We leave our forecast as of December 2016 unchanged and expect GDP to grow by 1.7 percent in 2017...

  12. Economic Outlook

    Expansion is set to continue

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    12/2016
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 26: The expansion in Germany is set to continue despite headwinds from abroad. We leave our forecast as of autumn unchanged and expect GDP...

  13. Economic Outlook

    Stretched economic upswing in Germany

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    09/2016
    Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler, Dominik Groll ...

    KKB 23: The economic upswing in Germany is set to continue despite heavy headwinds from abroad. We expect GDP to grow by 1.7 percent in 2017...

  14. Economic Outlook

    World economy: Continued expansion amid increased uncertainties

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook World
    03/2017
    Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Salomon Fiedler, Philipp Hauber ...

    KKB 27: The world economy has gained traction in the course of 2016 despite elevated policy uncertainty and seems to have picked up further in...

  15. Economic Outlook

    World economy in full swing

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook World
    09/2017
    Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Philipp Hauber, Stefan Kooths ...

    KKB 33: In the second quarter of 2017, global output has reaccelerated after a somewhat muted start into the year. For the first time in a...

  16. Economic Outlook

    Germany’s boom is maturing

    Kiel Institute Economic Outlook Germany
    09/2018
    Martin Ademmer, Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, Salomon Fiedler ...

    KKB 47: The economic upswing in Germany continues, although the expansion loses some steam. Compared to our summer forecast, we reduced our...

  17. Policy Article

    Foreign direct investment: implications for the German current account and spillover effects in receiving economies (in German)

    Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik
    11/2018
    Download
    Salomon Fiedler, Holger Görg, Cecília Hornok ...

    KBW 16: The German current account surplus in relation to GDP has reached record high levels in historical and international comparison over...

  18. Policy Article

    Economic slowdown in China – Current assessment and global implications

    Kiel Policy Brief
    10/2015
    Download
    Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Philipp Hauber, Galina Potjagailo

    Kiel Policy Brief No. 94: The Kiel Institute’s researchers Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Philipp Hauber and Galina Potjagailo address the question of...

  19. Working Paper

    Spillover Effects from Euro Area Monetary Policy across the EU: A Factor-Augmented VAR Approach

    Kiel Working Papers
    03/2016
    Download
    Galina Potjagailo

    I analyze spillover effects from Euro area monetary policy shocks to thirteen EU countries outside the Euro area, i.e., ten countries from...

  20. Working Paper

    Monetary Policy during Financial Crises: Is the Transmission Mechanism Impaired?

    Kiel Working Papers
    08/2015
    Download
    Nils Jannsen, Maik Wolters, Galina Potjagailo

    We study the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy during financial crises using a Bayesian panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) model for 20...

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