I analyze spillover effects from Euro area monetary policy shocks to thirteen EU countries outside the Euro area, i.e., ten countries...

Kiel Policy Brief No. 94: The Kiel Institute’s researchers Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Philipp Hauber and Galina Potjagailo address the...

I analyze spillover effects from a Euro area monetary policy shock to fourteen European countries outside the Euro area. The analysis...

KKB 33: In the second quarter of 2017, global output has reaccelerated after a somewhat muted start into the year. For the first time...

KKB 27: The world economy has gained traction in the course of 2016 despite elevated policy uncertainty and seems to have picked up...

KKB 9: The world economy is expanding at a more moderate pace with growth momentum continuing to shift from emerging to advanced...

We study the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy during financial crises using a Bayesian panel vector autoregressive (PVAR)...

The effects of monetary policy during financial crises differ substantially from those in normal times. Using a panel VAR for 20...

KKB 26: The expansion in Germany is set to continue despite headwinds from abroad. We leave our forecast as of autumn unchanged and...

KKB 41: The air for the economic upswing in Germany is getting thinner. We expect German GDP to grow by 2.5 percent this year and by...

KKB 23: The economic upswing in Germany is set to continue despite heavy headwinds from abroad. We expect GDP to grow by 1.7 percent...

KKB 14: German GDP is expected to increase by 1.8 percent (2015), 2.2 percent (2016), and 2.3 percent (2017). With capacity...

KKB 20: The economic upswing in Germany is set to con­tinue. GDP is likely to grow 1.9 percent this year and 2.1 percent next year....

KKB 29: The expansion in Germany continues. We leave our forecast as of December 2016 unchanged and expect GDP to grow by 1.7 percent...

KKB 35: The pronounced expansion of the German economy accelerates further. Compared to our summer forecast, we adjust our forecast...

KKB 32: The momentum of the expansion of the German economy is strong. Unchanged from our winter and spring forecasts, we expect a...

KKB 17: The German economy remains robust in a difficult international climate. In the current year, we expect GDP to increase by 2...

Kiel Policy Brief No. 90: According to the authors, improving institutions to stimulate entrepreneurial action and investment is the...

KKB 50: The upswing in Germany is starting to falter. In the third quarter, the economy shrank for the first time in three years. This...

KKB 38: The German economy is running at full steam. Economic activity has further accelerated in the current year and leading...