Dr. Ulrich Stolzenburg

Macroeconomic Policy under Market Imperfections, Forecasting Center

Topics: Business Cycle Euro Area, European Union & Euro

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Main research interests

Business cycle analysis and forecasting, European monetary union, Monetary policy, Agent-based computational macroeconomics

Since mid-2015: Economist at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy
2007-2015: Dr. sc. pol., Doctoral program "Quantitative Economics" at the University of Kiel. Dissertation: "Essays on Economic Growth and Business Cycle Dynamics".
2011-2013: Data Analyst at the Institute for Innovation Research, University of Kiel.
2001-2007: Degree in Economics at the University of Kiel, majoring in Econometrics, Statistics and International Economic Relations. 2003: Visit at the Rotterdam School of Economics, Netherlands.
Married, 2 kids

This article describes a simulated monetary macro model with different types of interacting agents. As such, it is assigned to the field of agent-based computational...

Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik No. 15: In a full reserve system, commercial banks would lose the ability to create money out of thin air and to use sight deposits...

To determine the possible welfare gains from macroeconomic stabilization policy, we adapt the ap- proach of Lucas (2003) with a risk-averse representative agent. However,...

Matthias Lengnick , Ulrich Stolzenburg

To determine the possible welfare gains from macroeconomic stabilization policy, we adapt the ap- proach of Lucas (2003) with a...

Ulrich Stolzenburg

A panel data set covering 145 countries between 1960 and 2010 has been investigated closely by using models of parameter...

Ulrich Stolzenburg

This article describes a simulated monetary macro model with different types of interacting agents. As such, it is assigned to the...

Thomas Lux , Ulrich Stolzenburg

Processes of social opinion formation might be dominated by a set of highly influential agents acting as 'opinion leaders'. Here we...

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Economic Outlook

Slower growth in the World Economy

Kiel Institute Economic Outlook World

12/2018

Klaus-Jürgen Gern , Philipp Hauber , Stefan Kooths ...

World economic growth is moderating accompanied by a broad-based deterioration in economic sentiment. ...

Policy Article

Crypto Currency - Money of the Future?

Wirtschaftsdienst

10/2018

Salomon Fiedler , Klaus-Jürgen Gern , Ulrich Stolzenburg

This article (german) looks at the cryptocurrency phenomenon, in particular with regards to costs and scalability, stability of value,...

Ulrich Stolzenburg

Kiel Policy Brief No. 118: This paper projects government interest payments as a percentage of GDP for Germany, France, Italy and...

Economic Outlook

Less Even Growth in the World Economy with Significant Downside Risks

Kiel Institute Economic Outlook World

09/2018

Klaus-Jürgen Gern , Philipp Hauber , Stefan Kooths ...

The global economy is losing steam. After a weak start in the beginning of this year, world production accelerated again in the second...

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ECON - Monetary Dialogue with ECB President

Since March 2015 the Kiel Institute for the World Economy advises the European Parliament on issues related to monetary and economic policy. In particular the Kiel Institute prepares surveys on current issues of currency...

Professional welder in a factory welding steel bars

This study aims at investigating the extent and causes of revisions of output gap estimates and at analyzing methodological issues along different phases of the business cycle. Based on this, possibilities for improvement...

The LIME working group is intended to drive forward the development of methodological approaches to track, analyse and model structural reforms carried out in the context of the Lisbon strategy and the Integrated...

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Despite to economic headwinds, researchers at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) have revised their forecasts only...

German GDP expected to increase by 1.8 percent (2015), 2.1 percent (2016), and 2.3 percent (2017) – Strong consumption growth...

Our most recent forecasts for Germany, the Euro Area and the World Economy as well as current commentary on economic and...

Dr. Ulrich Stolzenburg

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Main research interests

Selected Publications

The Agent-Based Solow Growth Model with Endogenous Business Cycles

Full money and full reserve: What is the benefit of a new money order? (original publication in German)

Additional Welfare Gains From Stabilization Policy

Additional Welfare Gains From Stabilization Policy

Growth Determinants Across Time and Space – A Semiparametric Panel Data Approach

The Agent-Based Solow Growth Model with Endogenous Business Cycles

Identification of a Core-Periphery Structure Among Participants of a Business Climate Survey

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Slower growth in the World Economy

Crypto Currency - Money of the Future?

Italy at the limit of its financial capability? (original publication in German)

Less Even Growth in the World Economy with Significant Downside Risks

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Scientific advisory services to the European Parliament's Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs supporting the Monetary Dialogue with the European Central Bank

Scientific advisory services to German participants in the Output Gaps Working Group of the European Union

Estimating potential output and the output gap – An analysis of revisions and cyclicality

Scientific advisory services to German participants in the Working Group on the Methodology to assess Lisbon related structural reforms (LIME) of the Economic Policy Committee of the European Union

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IfW Economic Forecast: German Economy Remains on Track

Economic Outlook of the Kiel Institute 2015 – 2017: Robust German economy in an uncertain international environment

Subject Dossiers

Economic Outlook

Kiel Institute for
the World Economy

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Main research interests

Selected Publications

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Updates from the Kiel Institute

Updates from the Kiel Institute