Journal Article

Providing Content to ECB Announcements

Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali

This paper proposes a new objective methodology to analyse the verbatim transcripts of central bank announcements. I apply a statistical method based on locally recurring word patterns, the descending hierarchical classification algorithm, to identify the characteristic themes of the monthly press conferences of the President of the ECB. The econometric evidence suggests that these press conferences convey information to the public. Moreover, the reaction of market rates strongly depends on the principal themes of the statement.


Carlo Rosa