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89. Kieler Konjunkturgespräche

The World Economy: Ready for Take-off?

March 17-18, 2014

Preliminary Agenda

 Monday, March 17

14:00All is well in the world economy?
Joachim Scheide, Kiel Institute for the World Economy
14:20The 2014 U.S. outlook: The year of the turnaround? A skeptical view
Adolfo Laurenti, Mesirow Financial, Chicago
15:00China: Real changes ahead or just another round of muddling through?
Doris Fischer, The University of Würzburg
15:40Coffee break
16:00Keynote speech:
External imbalances in the euro area
Jens Weidmann, President, Deutsche Bundesbank, Frankfurt
17:00Money and credit: Inextricably linked?
Hans-Helmut Kotz, SAFE Policy Center, Goethe University and Center for European Studies, Harvard
17:30100 years of business cycle analysis at the Kiel Institute
Joachim Scheide, Kiel Institute for the World Economy
18:00Panel discussion:
Current account imbalances and competitiveness: What do these indicators really tell us about a crisis?
Henning Klodt, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (Moderation)
19:00Buffet at the Kiel Institute

 Tuesday, March 18

09:00   Adjustment of the Spanish economy: Where do we stand?
Massimo Suardi, European Commission, Brussels
09:45France: Finally heading for reforms?
Alain Henriot, La Banque Postale, Paris
10:25The UK economy: A balanced recovery?
Simon Kirby, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, London
11:00Coffee break
11:30Roundup: The outlook for the world economy
Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Kiel Institute for the World Economy
12:00Germany: Boom of economic activity, but lower potential growth
Stefan Kooths, Kiel Institute for the World Economy
12:45Concluding discussion
13:00Lunch at the Kiel Institute